TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7bb…a9f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movieslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT8247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.53
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$77
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$159.8
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 66m and 68m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.63
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.69
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 72m and 79m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.83
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.55
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.2
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$272.93
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$817.27
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$1,062.05
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,497.84
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.38
Will "Toy Story 5" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$128
Will "Minions & Monsters" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.28
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+263.4%+$1,045.55
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.01
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.94
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,033.79
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+162.6%+$1,627.77
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$404.69
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$38.83
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST3844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$501.7
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$479.18
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$387
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$508.8
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$490
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+73.9%+$679.99
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+109.7%+$957.28
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+102%+$1,515
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+308.2%+$3,774.99
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,460
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,470
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,174.52
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.6%+$148.29
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+93.3%+$1,931.2
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,808.63
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,063Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+153.7%+$3,171.27
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$910.52
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,054
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.58
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58.05
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,091.49
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+76.8%+$1,223.17
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$935.84
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$3,077.17
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$64.35
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.8
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$418.02
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$548.8
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+199.2%+$10,268.78
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$570.96
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$366.6
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$572
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$570
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.05
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$741
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$199.04
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,481.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.16
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$930
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$87.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.