TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7e2…4a97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.58
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.33
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
England vs. Croatia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Argentina vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.7
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.71
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$22.46
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Rasmus Hojlund: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$29.69
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)backed UD Las Palmas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)backed RCD Mallorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$9.3
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$54.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.64
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25.4%+$2.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30.16
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+139.6%+$36.3
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.