Wallet 0xf898…e720
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xf898dc38744d9e173bcaadef0647ceb42ad8e720
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$933,038 staked over 9,571 qualified picks in 26 categories, 13 of 26 below 50.
Best category
Ncaa Basketball
$161 staked over 7 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.09 per pick.
See the full Ncaa Basketball boardSecond best
NHL
$14,091 staked over 194 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.07 per pick.
See the full NHL boardThird best
Bundesliga
$1,062 staked over 35 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Bundesliga boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 9,571 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category26 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast settled Jan 29, 2026, EST | $161 | —too few: 7 picks | 4 h 05to the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.43102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 7 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9 | +0.42 | 44c | +95.7% | 60 |
The 7 picks behind Ncaa Basketball are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 7 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $14,091 | before 10%in play 90%, over 194 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 28 min after the start | 4 h 07to the end, median over 332 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | +0.11127% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 127% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 131 of 194 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +16.3 | +0.08 | 52c | +17.4% | 58 |
The 194 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 194 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,062 | before 3%in play 97%, over 35 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 4 h 04to the end, median over 162 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.15154% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 154% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 29 of 35 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.3 | +0.10 | 59c | +7.7% | 56 |
The 35 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 35 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $58 | —too few: 3 picks | 3 h 19to the end, median over 142 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.43110% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 110% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2 | +0.39 | 61c | +65.4% | 55 |
The 3 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions League Inactivelast settled Oct 1, 2025, EDT | $1,602 | before 2%in play 98%, over 41 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 min after the start | 3 h 29to the end, median over 170 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 14 of them sold before the market settled | +0.06113% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 113% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 37 of 41 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0 | +0.05 | 46c | -9% | 53 |
The 41 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 41 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lol Inactivelast settled Jan 16, 2026, EST | $673 | before 20%in play 80%, over 15 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 19 min after the start | 3 h 18to the end, median over 19 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08109% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 109% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1 | +0.08 | 59c | -1.4% | 53 |
The 15 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 15 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $688,996 | before 1%in play 99%, over 6,367 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 29 min after the start | 2 h 29to the end, median over 11,639 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1,416 of them sold before the market settled | +0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 42% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 5,409 of 6,388 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6,388 | 48.3%3,086 W · 3,302 L | +182.7 | +0.03 | 45c | +1% | 53 |
The 6,388 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6,388 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Feb 25, 2026, EST | $8,179 | before 7%in play 93%, over 145 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 32 min after the start | 3 h 22to the end, median over 216 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 17 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 137 of 145 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +4.6 | +0.03 | 50c | -3.9% | 53 |
The 145 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 145 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Oct 15, 2025, EDT | $81 | —too few: 3 picks | 3 h 45to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.38156% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 156% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7 | +0.24 | 42c | +17.6% | 53 |
The 3 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricket Inactivelast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $59 | —too few: 3 picks | 4 h 26to the end, median over 6 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 48% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 3 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4 | +0.14 | 19c | -2.3% | 52 |
The 3 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2 Inactivelast settled Jun 20, 2026, EDT | $121,592 | before 9%in play 91%, over 1,378 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 26 min after the start | 3 h 33to the end, median over 1,770 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 247 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,291 of 1,378 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9 | +0.01 | 44c | -7.9% | 51 |
The 1,378 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,378 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jun 16, 2026, EDT | $2,177 | before 30%in play 70%, over 70 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 11 min after the start | 2 h 28to the end, median over 266 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 62 of 70 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.8 | +0.01 | 36c | -6.1% | 51 |
The 70 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 70 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Oct 3, 2025, EDT | $951 | before 0%in play 100%, over 31 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 4 h 01to the end, median over 158 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | +0.08992% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 992% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 27 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3 | +0.01 | 60c | -8.7% | 51 |
The 31 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBA Inactivelast settled Jul 18, 2026, EDT | $9,846 | before 1%in play 99%, over 88 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 13 min after the start | 2 h 48to the end, median over 107 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 78 of 88 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 38c | -20.1% | 50 |
The 88 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 88 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 26, 2026, EDT | $9,663 | before 7%in play 93%, over 284 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 2 h 43to the end, median over 1,152 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 64 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 271 of 291 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -2.6 | -0.01 | 49c | -2.5% | 49 |
The 291 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 291 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Liga Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2025, EDT | $2,986 | before 0%in play 100%, over 67 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 36 min after the start | 3 h 54to the end, median over 173 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 56 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0 | -0.01 | 55c | -8.5% | 49 |
The 67 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2025, EDT | $234 | before 0%in play 100%, over 10 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 34 min after the start | 3 h 41to the end, median over 136 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5 | -0.05 | 55c | -31.6% | 48 |
The 10 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2025, EDT | $820 | before 3%in play 97%, over 30 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 14 after the start | 4 h 00to the end, median over 114 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 28 of 30 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8 | -0.03 | 53c | -24.8% | 48 |
The 30 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 30 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBA Inactivelast settled Jul 18, 2026, EDT | $61,070 | before 5%in play 95%, over 601 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 27 min after the start | 3 h 52to the end, median over 886 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 105 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 418 of 601 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 601 | 43.4%261 W · 340 L | -12.9 | -0.02 | 46c | -9.8% | 48 |
The 601 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 601 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Football Inactivelast settled Oct 4, 2025, EDT | $145 | —too few: 6 picks | 4 h 22to the end, median over 8 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6 | -0.11 | 27c | -66.1% | 48 |
The 6 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled May 3, 2025, EDT | $33 | —no start of play | 8 minresells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8 | -0.80 | 80c | -100% | 47 |
The 1 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 25, 2026, EDT | $3,103 | before 3%in play 97%, over 64 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 23 min after the start | 3 h 51to the end, median over 212 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 61 of 64 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -2.8 | -0.04 | 54c | -11.9% | 47 |
The 64 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 64 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Mls Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2025, EDT | $40 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 h 00to the end, median over 73 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.31no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8 | -0.42 | 42c | -100% | 47 |
The 2 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFL Inactivelast settled Sep 30, 2025, EDT | $3,604 | before 4%in play 96%, over 47 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 10 min after the start | 4 h 53to the end, median over 67 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 8 of them sold before the market settled | -0.11no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 33 of 48 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4 | -0.07 | 36c | -18.2% | 45 |
The 48 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 48 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $1,732 | before 4%in play 96%, over 45 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 31 min after the start | 3 h 53to the end, median over 147 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 9 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 40 of 45 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.4 | -0.08 | 54c | -21.8% | 45 |
The 45 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 45 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Jan 23, 2026, EST | $81 | —too few: 5 picks | 3 h 00to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.24no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5 | -0.29 | 49c | -62.6% | 45 |
The 5 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 9,571 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 5 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 17
- What they are worth now
- $76bought for $103
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 36worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 17, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 36. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants (opens in a new tab)backed LG Twins · settled | 232.85 | 34c | $0 | Counted |
| Market 0x8bcf…2dc5backed outcome 0 | 122.54 | 13c | $0 | Not read yet |
| IK Start vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 16 | 40c | $0 | Never scored |
| Market 0x6d0d…4165backed outcome 0 | 14 | 12c | $0 | Not read yet |
| Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 4.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over · settled | 12 | 9c | $0 | Never scored |
Do these count towards the record above? 1 does: the wallet holds a scored pick on that market, already in the table above. 2 never will. TailMyPicks scored those markets, and this wallet’s position on them did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away. 2 are not in the published record at all: TailMyPicks has published nothing about those markets, so they are neither counted nor ruled out. Either we have not read it yet, or nothing anyone held on it was ever scored.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.