Wallet 0xfa01…f0a7
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xfa011919b3ce3222620052757ee0f0c66c41f0a7
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$896,760 staked over 4,834 qualified picks in 31 categories, 20 of 31 below 50.
Best category
Ligue 1
$4,612 staked over 51 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.06 per pick.
See the full Ligue 1 boardSecond best
Australian A League
$8,640 staked over 71 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.04 per pick.
See the full Australian A League boardThird best
Champions League
$36,797 staked over 291 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.03 per pick.
See the full Champions League boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 4,834 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category31 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Apr 19, 2026, EDT | $4,612 | before 100%in play 0%, over 51 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 50 before the start | 9 h 14to the end, median over 68 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09101% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 101% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 16 of 51 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.6 | +0.09 | 54c | +27.5% | 57 |
The 51 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 51 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled May 23, 2026, EDT | $8,640 | before 100%in play 0%, over 71 Australian A League picks with a start of play; typically bought 8 h 24 before the start | 12 h 48to the end, median over 96 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | +0.05105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 22 of 71 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7 | +0.05 | 57c | +12.8% | 54 |
The 71 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 71 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $36,797 | before 92%in play 8%, over 287 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 22 before the start | 10 h 18to the end, median over 409 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 22 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04105% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 105% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 138 of 291 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 291 | 60.5%176 W · 115 L | +10.9 | +0.04 | 57c | +3.7% | 54 |
The 291 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 291 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagues Inactivelast settled Sep 21, 2026, EDT | $16,100 | before 97%in play 3%, over 155 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 58 before the start | 8 h 57to the end, median over 233 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 37 of 155 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +5.9 | +0.04 | 56c | +6.3% | 54 |
The 155 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 155 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $22,905 | before 98%in play 2%, over 213 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 50 before the start | 10 h 03to the end, median over 272 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 7 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03107% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 107% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 66 of 213 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | +5.4 | +0.03 | 54c | +3.4% | 53 |
The 213 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 213 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Chesslast settled Sep 27, 2026, EDT | $16,229 | before 73%in play 27%, over 15 Chess picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 46 before the start | 2 dto the end, median over 163 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 40 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03141% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 141% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 8 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.5 | +0.02 | 39c | -14.4% | 52 |
The 78 picks behind Chess are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxing Inactivelast settled Jul 25, 2026, EDT | $6,460 | —no start of play | 1 dto the end, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0299% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 99% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 23 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4 | +0.02 | 51c | -24.4% | 51 |
The 23 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 23 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 14, 2026, EDT | $19,594 | before 98%in play 2%, over 202 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 7 h 57 before the start | 11 h 35to the end, median over 277 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00158% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 158% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 58 of 202 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 202 | 53%107 W · 95 L | +0.3 | 0.00 | 53c | -0.6% | 50 |
The 202 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 202 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $31,050 | before 96%in play 4%, over 232 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 05 before the start | 8 h 55to the end, median over 389 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 21 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00775% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 775% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 58 of 232 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 58c | +2.1% | 50 |
The 232 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 232 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $133,707 | before 59%in play 41%, over 328 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 52 before the start | 9 h 02to the end, median over 529 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 42 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00744% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 744% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 143 of 446 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 446 | 57.6%257 W · 189 L | +0.2 | 0.00 | 58c | +1.5% | 50 |
The 446 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 446 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 19, 2026, EDT | $61,086 | before 92%in play 8%, over 464 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 18 before the start | 9 h 08to the end, median over 648 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00841% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 841% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 169 of 469 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 469 | 57.4%269 W · 200 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 57c | -1.3% | 50 |
The 469 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 469 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Middle East Inactivelast settled Mar 3, 2026, EST | $358 | —no start of play | 5 dresells, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0 | 0.00 | 34c | -22.5% | 50 |
The 3 picks behind Middle East are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $21,842 | before 96%in play 4%, over 181 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 36 before the start | 8 h 09to the end, median over 252 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 71 of 181 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | -0.2 | 0.00 | 56c | -7.8% | 50 |
The 181 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 181 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $136,734 | before 88%in play 12%, over 706 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 56 before the start | 6 h 36to the end, median over 1,271 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 111 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 381 of 781 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 781 | 56.2%439 W · 342 L | -3.7 | 0.00 | 57c | -1.1% | 49 |
The 781 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 781 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| AI Inactivelast settled Oct 5, 2026, EDT | $15 | —no start of play | 7 dto the end, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.16no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2 | -0.16 | 16c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind AI are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Golf Inactivelast settled Sep 28, 2025, EDT | $94 | —no start of play | 5 h 39to the end, median over 2 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | -0.08no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2 | -0.08 | 8c | -100% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Golf are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Venezuela Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $51 | —no start of play | 18 h 08resells, median over 1 pick in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.26no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3 | -0.26 | 26c | -100% | 49 |
The 1 picks behind Venezuela are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Macro Indicators Inactivelast settled Nov 7, 2025, EST | $115 | —no start of play | 36 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.18 | 68c | -35.9% | 49 |
The 2 picks behind Macro Indicators are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| World Politics Inactivelast settled Jun 6, 2026, EDT | $2,229 | —no start of play | 4 dto the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 5 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5 | -0.05 | 50c | -29% | 48 |
The 9 picks behind World Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ukraine Inactivelast settled Jan 1, 2026, EST | $52 | —no start of play | 2 dto the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled | -0.37no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4 | -0.37 | 37c | -100% | 48 |
The 1 picks behind Ukraine are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fed Rates Inactivelast settled Mar 4, 2026, EST | $443 | —no start of play | 3 dto the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 3 of them sold before the market settled | -0.14no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4 | -0.14 | 47c | -14.4% | 48 |
The 3 picks behind Fed Rates are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 3 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Us Politics Inactivelast settled Nov 13, 2025, EST | $578 | —no start of play | 2 dresells, median over 28 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 15 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6 | -0.06 | 56c | +8.7% | 48 |
The 10 picks behind Us Politics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 10 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleague Inactivelast settled Sep 14, 2025, EDT | $1,346 | —too few: 5 picks | 4 dto the end, median over 15 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9 | -0.10 | 43c | -41.6% | 47 |
The 9 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 9 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT | $300,293 | before 73%in play 27%, over 1,047 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 51 before the start | 7 h 28to the end, median over 1,292 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 76 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 486 of 1,070 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,070 | 49.3%528 W · 542 L | -31.4 | -0.03 | 52c | -8.4% | 47 |
The 1,070 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,070 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Movies Inactivelast settled Mar 16, 2026, EDT | $592 | —no start of play | 17 h 11to the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.18no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 6 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1 | -0.18 | 51c | -54.6% | 46 |
The 6 picks behind Movies are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 6 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $17,135 | before 71%in play 29%, over 76 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 3 h 06 before the start | 6 h 49to the end, median over 102 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 12 of them sold before the market settled | -0.05no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 49 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.5 | -0.05 | 52c | -8.4% | 46 |
The 78 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Music Inactivelast settled May 16, 2026, EDT | $6,065 | —no start of play | 7 h 54to the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | -0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2 | -0.06 | 44c | -30.5% | 46 |
The 37 picks behind Music are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT | $25,964 | before 91%in play 9%, over 237 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 5 h 41 before the start | 10 h 39to the end, median over 336 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 37 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 71 of 239 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 239 | 53.1%127 W · 112 L | -9.9 | -0.04 | 57c | -9.1% | 46 |
The 239 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 239 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| F1 Inactivelast settled Sep 13, 2026, EDT | $6,981 | before 100%in play 0%, over 16 F1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 6 h 47 before the start | 11 h 39to the end, median over 65 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 20 of them sold before the market settled | -0.09no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 15 of 32 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7 | -0.08 | 49c | -24.2% | 45 |
The 32 picks behind F1 are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 32 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Olympicslast settled Feb 22, 2026, EST | $8,261 | before 20%in play 80%, over 20 Olympics picks with a start of play; typically bought 103 h 16 after the start | 7 h 33to the end, median over 47 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 13 of them sold before the market settled | -0.10no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 12 of 31 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2 | -0.10 | 42c | -39.6% | 44 |
The 31 picks behind Olympics are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 31 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian League Inactivelast settled May 3, 2026, EDT | $10,431 | before 90%in play 10%, over 107 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 h 03 before the start | 9 h 03to the end, median over 130 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 5 of them sold before the market settled | -0.12no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 34 of 107 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1 | -0.12 | 51c | -32.3% | 39 |
The 107 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 4,834 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 107 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 95
- What they are worth now
- $14,406bought for $16,007
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 46worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 95, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 46. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 2,000 | 25c | $0 | Counted |
| US Open WTA: Katie Volynets vs Linda Noskova (opens in a new tab)backed Katie Volynets · settled | 1,555 | 40c | $0 | Counted |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Taro Daniel vs Andrew Johnson (opens in a new tab)backed Taro Daniel · settled | 1,200 | 87c | $0 | Never scored |
| US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien (opens in a new tab)backed Nuno Borges · settled | 1,200 | 33c | $0 | Counted |
| UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) (opens in a new tab)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · settled | 1,000 | 49c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 4 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above. 1 never will. TailMyPicks scored that market, and this wallet’s position on it did not clear the bar: too small, bought above the price cap, or hedged away.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.