TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa2e…c5d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
302
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT7580%60 W · 15 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.2
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.21
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.78
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.16
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$22.66
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.32
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$73.09
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$41.2
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.44
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$44.25
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42.42
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$40.8
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$65
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$41.2
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.56
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5761.4%35 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+526.9%+$170.62
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.74
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.01
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.5
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$35.99
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.87
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.06
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.21
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.4
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23.23
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.76
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.29
Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+98%+$99.98
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.71
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37.74
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.32
Burgos CF vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.76
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$40.17
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+84%+$13.7
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$23.87
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24.24
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.33
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.22
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.83
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.13
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.14
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.19
Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.3
Stoke City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.3
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.95
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.99
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.57
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.29
LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$140.35
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.02
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.28
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.7
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. SC Paderborn 07: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$54.54
SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.39
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.39
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.33
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.26
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.97
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.73
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.15
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.58
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.62
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.21
All 17 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47.94
Beşiktaş JK vs. Trabzonspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17.34
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Molde FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
AZ vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.31
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.17
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.53
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.57
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.46
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.41
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC København vs. FK Polissia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$42.23
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.26
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+102%+$202
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.91
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$20.5
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+36%+$50.02
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.8
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick67cpaid-40.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.18
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.75
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.64
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.6
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$44.32
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.83
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.78
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.84
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.82
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.3
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.48
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.36
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.03
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$77.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.47
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick73cpaid-44%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.14
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.28
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.