TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfbed…60b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8250%41 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+826.8%+$617.22
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.19
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$18.65
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$49.98
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.68
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$122.48
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$66.85
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.78
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$45.37
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$177.62
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.75
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$33.75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.71
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$12.07
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.58
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$67.71
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.24
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+216.2%+$129.72
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$104.17
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40.79
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100.25
Texans vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.86
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+61.9%+$76.24
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Titans vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+149.9%+$28.48
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Raiders vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.16
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.83
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$81.13
Panthers vs. Patriotsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+41.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$53.46
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+224.3%+$179.42
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$16.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mauricio Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+215.6%+$49.58
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$9.18
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+185.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.