Wallet 0xfd3e…5a7a
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0xfd3e6449d0c1e807501dcc17c0d9447201f35a7a
Rebuilt .
Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end
$519,970 staked over 5,772 qualified picks in 28 categories, 3 of 28 below 50.
Best category
Mls
$13,737 staked over 166 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.13 per pick.
See the full Mls boardSecond best
Europa Conference League
$4,588 staked over 74 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.13 per pick.
See the full Europa Conference League boardThird best
UFC
$14,150 staked over 116 qualified picks
Above the line at +0.11 per pick.
See the full UFC boardIf you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast
Not worked out for this wallet. It has 5,772 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can work through while it loads. The same limit stops the record from listing its picks one by one. The record by category above still sums up every one of them.
Only a hypothetical is missing. Nothing in this wallet’s published record depends on it.
Record by category28 Categories
The rows below open onto a note, not onto their picks. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks, more than the 3,000 this page can list with one click. Each row still sums up all of its picks. The JSON version of this record has the same figures for each category.
What these columns mean
- Category
- The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
- Staked
- The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
- When it bets
- Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
- Holds
- How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
- At your price
- What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
- Qualified picks
- Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
- Win rate
- How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
- vs expected
- Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
- Realizable edge
- Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
- Avg entry
- The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
- ROI per pick
- The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Category | Staked | When it bets | Holds | At your price | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $13,737 | before 1%in play 99%, over 166 Mls picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 23 after the start | 1 h 10to the end, median over 479 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 69 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 69% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 159 of 166 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 166 | 72.3%120 W · 46 L | +24.6 | +0.15 | 57c | +25.5% | 64 |
The 166 picks behind Mls are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 166 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Europa Conference Leaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $4,588 | before 7%in play 93%, over 74 Europa Conference League picks with a start of play; typically bought 38 min after the start | 3 h 07to the end, median over 298 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | +0.07out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 41% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 66 of 74 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +12.4 | +0.17 | 54c | +32.5% | 64 |
The 74 picks behind Europa Conference League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 74 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| UFClast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $14,150 | before 3%in play 97%, over 116 UFC picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 43 after the start | 37 minto the end, median over 209 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.10out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 72% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 116 of 116 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +15.6 | +0.13 | 53c | +25.8% | 62 |
The 116 picks behind UFC are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 116 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Cricketlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $47,348 | before 14%in play 86%, over 204 Cricket picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 01 after the start | 4 h 37to the end, median over 385 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 31 of them sold before the market settled | +0.14120% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 120% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 186 of 204 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 204 | 68.1%139 W · 65 L | +23.4 | +0.11 | 57c | +15.6% | 61 |
The 204 picks behind Cricket are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 204 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| College Footballlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $15,292 | before 2%in play 98%, over 161 College Football picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 26 after the start | 54 minto the end, median over 557 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 107 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1089% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 131 of 161 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 161 | 67.1%108 W · 53 L | +18.3 | +0.11 | 56c | +27.1% | 61 |
The 161 picks behind College Football are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 161 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Euroleaguelast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $1,049 | before 0%in play 100%, over 33 Euroleague picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 47 after the start | 2 h 47to the end, median over 64 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.1487% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 87% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 32 of 33 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.4 | +0.16 | 56c | +25.1% | 60 |
The 33 picks behind Euroleague are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 33 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Fifa International Inactivelast settled Oct 6, 2026, EDT | $71,716 | before <1%in play >99%, over 560 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 42 min after the start | 1 h 47to the end, median over 1,141 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 163 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 35% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 556 of 560 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 560 | 62%347 W · 213 L | +45.5 | +0.08 | 54c | +15.3% | 59 |
The 560 picks behind Fifa International are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 560 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Other European Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $4,233 | before 2%in play 98%, over 108 Other European Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 2 h 58to the end, median over 320 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 25 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 32% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 103 of 108 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +10.2 | +0.09 | 57c | +17.3% | 59 |
The 108 picks behind Other European Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 108 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| WNBAlast settled Oct 17, 2026, EDT | $6,795 | before 11%in play 89%, over 65 WNBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 48 after the start | 55 minto the end, median over 165 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0889% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 89% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 65 of 65 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +6.2 | +0.09 | 54c | +12.7% | 58 |
The 65 picks behind WNBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 65 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Dota2 Inactivelast settled Sep 26, 2026, EDT | $540 | before 0%in play 100%, over 17 Dota2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 10 after the start | 1 h 05to the end, median over 39 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 18 of them sold before the market settled | +0.09out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 61% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 17 of 17 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5 | +0.15 | 56c | +27.1% | 57 |
The 17 picks behind Dota2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 17 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NFLlast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $26,945 | before 1%in play 99%, over 144 NFL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 51 after the start | 57 minto the end, median over 360 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 88 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0678% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 78% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 127 of 144 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +10.2 | +0.07 | 53c | +10.1% | 57 |
The 144 picks behind NFL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 144 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Tennislast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $117,120 | before 7%in play 93%, over 1,470 Tennis picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 54 after the start | 1 h 30to the end, median over 4,448 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 530 of them sold before the market settled | +0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 66% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 1,338 of 1,475 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 1,475 | 61.4%905 W · 570 L | +90.2 | +0.06 | 55c | +9.9% | 57 |
The 1,475 picks behind Tennis are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 1,475 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NBAlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $17,204 | before 3%in play 97%, over 99 NBA picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 16 after the start | 35 minto the end, median over 188 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 11 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 45% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 89 of 99 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +7.4 | +0.08 | 50c | +15.6% | 57 |
The 99 picks behind NBA are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 99 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| MLBlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $65,043 | before 4%in play 96%, over 869 MLB picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 23 after the start | 54 minto the end, median over 2,424 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 499 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 58% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 780 of 869 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 869 | 59%513 W · 356 L | +51.8 | +0.06 | 53c | +11.3% | 56 |
The 869 picks behind MLB are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 869 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Lollast settled Oct 22, 2026, EDT | $11,325 | before 2%in play 98%, over 172 Lol picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 23 after the start | 2 h 48to the end, median over 454 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 161 of them sold before the market settled | +0.0583% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 83% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 171 of 172 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 172 | 61.6%106 W · 66 L | +10.7 | +0.06 | 55c | +8.2% | 56 |
The 172 picks behind Lol are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 172 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Serie Alast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,095 | before 0%in play 100%, over 42 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start | 1 h 32to the end, median over 126 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 10 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 46% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 41 of 42 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.7 | +0.07 | 55c | +8.3% | 55 |
The 42 picks behind Serie A are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 42 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| South American Leagueslast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $25,537 | before <1%in play >99%, over 316 South American Leagues picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 17 after the start | 2 h 41to the end, median over 789 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 109 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 65% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 309 of 316 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +13.3 | +0.04 | 56c | +3.3% | 54 |
The 316 picks behind South American Leagues are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 316 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Premier Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $7,502 | before 0%in play 100%, over 137 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 37 min after the start | 2 h 10to the end, median over 361 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 30 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 126 of 137 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +5.9 | +0.04 | 53c | +5.6% | 54 |
The 137 picks behind Premier League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 137 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| NHLlast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $2,491 | before 1%in play 99%, over 67 NHL picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 30 after the start | 1 h 26to the end, median over 184 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 33 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 2% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 66 of 67 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.3 | +0.05 | 55c | -2% | 54 |
The 67 picks behind NHL are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 67 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Bundesligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $3,071 | before 2%in play 98%, over 59 Bundesliga picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 09 after the start | 1 h 42to the end, median over 166 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 27 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 50% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 54 of 59 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1 | +0.04 | 56c | +8.3% | 53 |
The 59 picks behind Bundesliga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 59 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Asian Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $11,571 | before 1%in play 99%, over 189 Asian League picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 13 after the start | 2 h 43to the end, median over 449 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 35 of them sold before the market settled | -0.01out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 179 of 189 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +4.8 | +0.03 | 56c | +3% | 52 |
The 189 picks behind Asian League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 189 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Ligue 1last settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $3,348 | before 0%in play 100%, over 37 Ligue 1 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 12 after the start | 1 h 32to the end, median over 81 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 6 of them sold before the market settled | 0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 10% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 36 of 37 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.1 | +0.03 | 54c | -2.3% | 52 |
The 37 picks behind Ligue 1 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 37 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| CS2last settled Oct 23, 2026, EDT | $17,985 | before 1%in play 99%, over 321 CS2 picks with a start of play; typically bought 1 h 55 after the start | 2 h 20to the end, median over 990 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 186 of them sold before the market settled | +0.02126% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 126% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 318 of 321 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 321 | 55.1%177 W · 144 L | +4.3 | +0.01 | 54c | -3.3% | 51 |
The 321 picks behind CS2 are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 321 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Champions Leaguelast settled Oct 21, 2026, EDT | $9,135 | before 1%in play 99%, over 109 Champions League picks with a start of play; typically bought 43 min after the start | 1 h 21to the end, median over 277 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 32 of them sold before the market settled | -0.04out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 108 of 109 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +0.7 | +0.01 | 54c | -2.3% | 51 |
The 109 picks behind Champions League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 109 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| La Ligalast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $13,080 | before 0%in play 100%, over 148 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 58 min after the start | 1 h 40to the end, median over 366 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 47 of them sold before the market settled | -0.02out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept nothing of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 144 of 148 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +0.1 | 0.00 | 55c | -0.6% | 50 |
The 148 picks behind La Liga are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 148 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Australian A Leaguelast settled Oct 24, 2026, EDT | $591 | —too few: 2 picks | 2 h 24to the end, median over 10 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled | -0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0 | -0.02 | 52c | +25% | 50 |
The 2 picks behind Australian A League are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 2 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Boxinglast settled Oct 18, 2026, EDT | $2,490 | —too few: 4 picks | 14 h 08to the end, median over 12 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled | +0.03no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 4 of 4 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1 | -0.02 | 52c | -24.1% | 50 |
The 4 picks behind Boxing are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 4 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
| Valorant Inactivelast settled Sep 15, 2026, EDT | $3,987 | before 0%in play 100%, over 78 Valorant picks with a start of play; typically bought 2 h 00 after the start | 2 h 40to the end, median over 205 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 61 of them sold before the market settled | -0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 78 of 78 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price) | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -5.4 | -0.07 | 51c | -24.9% | 44 |
The 78 picks behind Valorant are not listed here. This wallet has 5,772 qualified picks in all, more than the 3,000 this page can open with one click. The row above sums up all 78 of them. The JSON version of this record has the same figures. | |||||||||||
What this wallet holds right now
Last asked .
- Positions on running markets
- 16
- What they are worth now
- $843bought for $710
- Settled, not yet cashed
- 43worth $0
Its 10 largest running positions
Of 16, by what they are worth today. The count and the value in the tiles above cover all of them.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Now
- What the same outcome costs on Polymarket as of the last price check. Nothing on this table is a result: these markets have not settled and there is nothing yet to be right about.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Now | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Vienna vs. Mega Mozzart (opens in a new tab)backed Mega Mozzart | 627.17 | 79c | 100c | $624 |
| Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 106.29 | 77c | 100c | $106 |
| Market 0xed2b…4722backed outcome 0 | 63.61 | 93c | 100c | $64 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Hermine Esports Club (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #10 Playoffs (opens in a new tab)backed Hermine Esports Club | 12.36 | 66c | 100c | $12 |
| AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Grand Rapids Griffins (opens in a new tab)backed Cleveland Monsters | 20 | 35c | 50c | $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 13.54 | 49c | 41c | $5 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 19.13 | 40c | 28c | $5 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 10.74 | 54c | 50c | $5 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5 (opens in a new tab)backed Over | 11.04 | 48c | 45c | $5 |
| Market 0xc7e7…48d1backed outcome 1 | 5.42 | 48c | 51c | $3 |
Settled bets it has not cashed in
The 5 largest of 43. These markets have already settled: the money is there and the wallet has not collected it. They are not open bets, so they are not in the figures above.
What these columns mean
- Position
- How many shares of this outcome the wallet still holds, as Polymarket reports them right now. It is a number of shares, not an amount of money. What they are worth is in the Worth column.
- Paid
- Polymarket's own average price for the shares the wallet still holds. It is not the entry price TailMyPicks works out for a scored pick, which averages the buys on the side it picked, weighted by the size of each buy. The two answer different questions.
- Worth
- What those shares would sell for at the last price Polymarket published for this outcome. If Polymarket has said nothing about a position, it shows as not priced, not as zero, because nobody quoted a price for it.
| Market | Position | Paid | Worth | In the record? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage (opens in a new tab)backed KAMUI · settled | 419.56 | 42c | $0 | Counted |
| Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage (opens in a new tab)backed Sinners · settled | 160.33 | 36c | $0 | Counted |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rincon (opens in a new tab)backed Titouan Droguet · settled | 113.12 | 25c | $0 | Counted |
| New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins (opens in a new tab)backed Miami Marlins · settled | 60.07 | 44c | $0 | Counted |
| Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-24? (opens in a new tab)backed Yes · settled | 56.85 | 35c | $0 | Counted |
Do these count towards the record above? 5 do: the wallet holds a scored pick on those markets, already in the table above.
These figures and the record above are never added together. What this wallet holds on Polymarket right now and what TailMyPicks scored it on are two different sets of markets, measured in different ways. The record covers markets that have settled and been graded. These figures cover money still on the table. No number on this page combines them, and adding one to the other would mean nothing.
What is a Tail Score?
A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.
The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.
Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.
It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.
The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.
Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.
Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.