TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfd6f…e887

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
257
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8351.8%43 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61%+$75.8
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.71
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.12
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$332.5
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.4
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.33
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$134.98
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$264
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$258
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT4057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$172
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$188
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$204.59
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$201.5
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$217.3
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$99.45
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+112.8%+$212
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$201.66
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$203.99
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Spread: Giants (-2.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$279.99
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$196
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$103.4
Spread: Browns (-4.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.2%+$82.8
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT3860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.37
Wild vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Blue Jackets vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$254.96
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$192
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Kraken vs. Kingsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+212.5%+$136
Flyers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$194
Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+150%+$120
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$184
Canucks vs. Flyersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$202.4
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Kraken vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$176
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$184
Ducks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$144.48
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Islanders vs. Utahbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Spread: Texas State (-17.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$249.75
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$250
Spread: Vanderbilt (-3.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$235
Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$236
Spread: Pittsburgh (-9.5)backed East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+135.7%+$292.51
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.95
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55
O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$196
O/U 57.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Memphis vs. North Carolina Statebacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$163.69
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Missouri State vs. Arkansas State: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$95.99
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+127.3%+$128.8
Spread: Washington (-9.5)backed Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$196
Boise State vs. Washingtonbacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$201.96
Spread: Oregon (-25.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+100%+$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+46.6%+$222.06
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$127.13
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+166%+$748.79
Will the US strike Iran next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+244.8%+$567.99
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$392
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+54.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+257.3%+$1,812.71
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+900%+$178
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,964.85
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,998.32
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,337.14
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$251.67
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$2,683.22
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Southern Jaguars vs. Texas State Bobcatsbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$139.39
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$37.8
All 5 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+199.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+83%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+281.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+488.2%+$683.53
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$116.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,797Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,797.09
Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$96.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$84.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: University War vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Seasonbacked University War · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,075.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.