TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe10…95cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$242.03
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$168.88
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$129
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$553.8
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.05
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.89
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.26
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$706.92
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$429.77
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$339
U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.78
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+47.7%+$37.79
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.19
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$372.97
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Vietnam before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$325
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Australia before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+94%+$745.47
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$67.46
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.63
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+86.8%+$15.34
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+281.4%+$1,977.56
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.92
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$926.95
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2528%7 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+584.8%+$2,277.21
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+194.1%+$198
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,061.06
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,122.32
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.12
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$462.63
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+275.3%+$2,388.39
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$224
Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.2
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.98
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$207
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$346.5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,129.46
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,658.23
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$542
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$201
Will George Simion win by over 18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.23
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$367.74
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will the next Pope be from Asia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$94.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
Will John Foster win American Idol season 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.89
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+356.6%+$713.05
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.68
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.49
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$182
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$222.6
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+203%+$442.2
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+188.3%+$411.5
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.6
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.81
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$122.1
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.8
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.55
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.31
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$570.63
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$491.63
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.8
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$931.98
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,224.38
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$2,651.91
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+114.7%+$4,110.36
Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.52
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+311.3%+$4,557.78
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.23
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,660.16
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,404.7
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.99
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$32
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$64.8
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.96
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$277.24
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$98.34
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.86
Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+242.5%+$495.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+65%+$590.77
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Russia announces air truce by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.73
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$459.6
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.3
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$399.9
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,102.64
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$39.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick40cpaid+207.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBI's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.58
Will Aaron Judge break HR record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+165.5%+$38.65
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$482.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+129.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$124.22
Bitcoin all time high in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$556
PGL Astana: Aurora vs. Astralisbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$189
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,945Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,944.87
Will a dozen eggs be below $4.50 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$384.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win another major in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+275.1%+$45.47
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs paiN Gaming (BO1)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+177.8%+$2,739.2
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$171.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$273.66
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$643.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+117.6%+$580
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$204
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+46%+$299.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$115.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$309.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.