TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe1a…6bcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst Music at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT7525.3%19 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.52
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$180.39
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.12
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.11
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.11
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$13.06
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.07
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.36
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.9
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.95
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.21
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+184.4%+$108.65
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.27
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.75
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.66
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+408.8%+$485.6
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.48
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.45
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+266.1%+$121.34
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.57
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$31.53
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$15.71
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+37%+$3.78
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$8.62
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+179%+$84.58
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.5%+$23.36
Megaquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.8%+$19.2
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+116.5%+$40.35
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$48.2
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33%+$27.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$107.65
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
Apple Q2 iPhone revenue above $58B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.38
Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.25
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+76%+$338.13
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+168.1%+$134.17
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+106.8%+$20.66
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.75
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+70%+$167.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+64.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$199.24
Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+356%+$35.79
Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+120.4%+$17.21
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.85
Will Churchill Downs (CHDN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+56%+$8.55
Will Northern Trust (NTRS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$26.35
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+36%+$50.71
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+45%+$45.02
Will Factset Research (FDS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+166.7%+$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.82
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$29.62
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+223.8%+$1,085.06
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.48
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.28
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$72.97
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$47.83
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the January meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37.2%+$49.46
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$34.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.88
ECB rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$17.6
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53.48
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+57.6%+$23.75
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47%+$137.81
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+57.3%+$23.68
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.1%+$16.9
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$33.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.87
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.69
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$40.84
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.06
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.34
Will Drake officially release Iceman by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.67
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.19
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+99.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.