Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
Wallets last checked .
Middle EastPolymarket gives this event no start time.
https://tailmypicks.com/e/israel-military-action-against-lebanon-on-october-2026
Top 200 wallets
1
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 1 wallet, $37 · No: 2 wallets, $67 1 of 3 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfadb…5645#2 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $37 | 73c | +$13.5 | 69 |
| 0x15d1…ec0f#16 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $50 | 34c | -$50 | 62 |
| 0x1ee9…197f#29 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $17 | 17c | -$16.51 | 61 |
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 18? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 2 wallets, $27 · No: 0 wallets, $0 2 of 2 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfadb…5645#2 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $17 | 75c | +$5.77 | 69 |
| 0x1ee9…197f#29 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $10 | 50c | +$10 | 61 |
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 25? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 1 wallet, $10 · No: 1 wallet, $100 1 of 2 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0x15d1…ec0f#16 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $100 | 19c | -$100 | 62 |
| 0x1ee9…197f#29 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $10 | 50c | +$10 | 61 |
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 26? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 2 wallets, $27 · No: 0 wallets, $0 2 of 2 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0x1ee9…197f#29 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $13 | 65c | +$7 | 61 |
| 0x2b62…438c#41 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $14 | 54c | +$12.02 | 60 |
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 1 wallet, $37 · No: 1 wallet, $19 1 of 2 wallets backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0xfadb…5645#2 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $37 | 73c | +$13.5 | 69 |
| 0x1ee9…197f#29 on the board | No | lost (open this pick) | $19 | 12c | -$19.15 | 61 |
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 23? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 1 wallet, $21 · No: 0 wallets, $0 1 of 1 wallet backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0x1ee9…197f#29 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $21 | 52c | +$19.2 | 61 |
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 24? (opens in a new tab)
Settled: Yes won. Yes: 1 wallet, $21 · No: 0 wallets, $0 1 of 1 wallet backed the winner.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
- Result
- Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
- Staked
- What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
- Entry
- The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
- Held to the end
- What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| The pick on this market | Settled markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Middle East when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on. | ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled. | StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side. | EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents. | Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0x1ee9…197f#29 on the board | Yes | won (open this pick) | $21 | 52c | +$19.4 | 61 |
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29? (opens in a new tab)
Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.
What these columns mean
- Wallet
- A wallet in the top 200 of Middle East, with its place on that board. The top 50 come first, then the 51st to the 200th below a line. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
- Side
- The side of this market the wallet bought.
- Bought for
- What the wallet's buys on this side put in. What it held at the end is not read any more: Polymarket stops reporting a position once its market settles.
- Price
- The average price the wallet bought at, in cents.
- Bought
- When the wallet first bought, and when it last added to the position. In play means after the start. Where we never saw the buy, the row says how long we have seen it held.
- Tail Score
- The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
| Bought on this market | Settled markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WalletA wallet in the top 200 of Middle East, with its place on that board. The top 50 come first, then the 51st to the 200th below a line. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. | SideThe side of this market the wallet bought. | Bought forWhat the wallet's buys on this side put in. What it held at the end is not read any more: Polymarket stops reporting a position once its market settles. | PriceThe average price the wallet bought at, in cents. | BoughtWhen the wallet first bought, and when it last added to the position. In play means after the start. Where we never saw the buy, the row says how long we have seen it held. | Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades. |
| 0x619d…b31c#12 on the board | Nomarket closed | $24 | 32c | first buy | 62 |
5 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
7 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
2 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
9 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
10 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
12 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
2 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
9 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
40 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
8 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
12 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
7 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
10 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
5 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30? (opens in a new tab)
Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.
1 position not shown: 1 bought above 80c
5 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
11 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
9 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
9 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
5 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.
About this page
A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.