TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ee9…197f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,015
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: AI, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category AI at 65 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT29653.7%159 W · 137 L+20.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+104.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 296 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.17
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.45
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+1,671.9%+$317.66
Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last at least 15 seconds by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+1,719.7%+$954.04
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$872.95
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,022Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$1,252.47
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$392.47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.02
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,884Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$1,051.66
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,125.71
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$134.18
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+1,332.9%+$989.02
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40%+$344.33
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.44
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.1
Showing 25 of 296 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT16746.1%77 W · 90 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 167 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$23.46
Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.33
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.98
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.5
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$2,802.24
Will Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$108.44
Will Iván Cepeda win between 35% and 40% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.88
Will Iván Cepeda win between 50% and 55% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will Iván Cepeda win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.04
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+215.5%+$804.11
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.83
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.72
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.84
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$294.87
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+83%+$26.55
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$84.1
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.19
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.12
Showing 25 of 167 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10561.9%65 W · 40 L+17.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+34.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
AI — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$149.24
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$101.75
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+309.9%+$639.61
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$93.21
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+48%+$68.36
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.85
Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$12.24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+413.5%+$127.18
Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$54.98
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+234%+$39.93
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$121.54
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$82.94
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $42B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$79.27
Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$25.75
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.68
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?backed SpaceX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.31
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.5
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+203.2%+$538.22
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$162.49
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT8547.1%40 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$440.91
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+130.2%+$235.58
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$148.02
Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.45
Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.24
Will Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+45%+$138.86
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$162.51
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$330.4
Will Luka Modric attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$723Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$197.37
Will Gareth Bale attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$56.67
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.21
Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$54.1
Will Pam Bondi attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$504.48
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$187
Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$134.16
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.33
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.72
Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$85.16
Will there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$637.83
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$587.59
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.79
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5952.5%31 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+65.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$14.62
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.41
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.28
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.83
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$614.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$455
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122%+$403.88
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+77%+$738.51
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$3,193.99
Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.62
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52%+$32.5
Will Kuwait send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+1,157.3%+$1,019.55
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+86%+$760.41
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4548.9%22 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
IPO — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$59.14
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+60%+$13.88
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$32.27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.13
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+293.1%+$293.08
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.52
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.57
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$74.96
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.48
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$297.22
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$25.9
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.68
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.74
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.72
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.42
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.98
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$420.81
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$214.89
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$134.24
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.49
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$7.48
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$288
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$54.6
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+571.7%+$239.38
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.06
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$230.31
Will Bill Clinton say "Massage" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.79
Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17.15
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.8%+$72.03
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+34.1%+$36.53
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+32.9%+$21.79
Will Hillary say "Dress" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.34
Will Hillary say "FBI" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$12.26
Will Hillary say "Survivor" during her Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$78.34
Will Bill or Hillary publicly testify before congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.3%+$13.38
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37.68
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+27.2%+$57.47
Will the government shutdown last 21 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$84.11
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.6%+$41.75
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.1%+$169.07
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$566
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.5
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.8
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.5
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$291.64
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$459.88
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will EdgeX launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.45
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.07
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+42.1%+$179.46
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+179.1%+$133.65
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+45.7%+$96.91
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+73.8%+$232.97
Over $500K committed to the Sol Raffle public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.6%+$27.46
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$513.14
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$289.38
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$124.44
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+84.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+1,804.8%+$541.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$271.33
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.94
Will Solana reach $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.86
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.45
Will Solana reach $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.41
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.6
Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
Will $MARU reach $900M in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+499.7%+$438.01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.9%+$26.4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+74.8%+$42.8
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$155.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.9%+$214.98
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$87.68
Altcoin market cap dip to $160B by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,606Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.1%+$680.72
Will Solana reach $210 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$39.2
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+76.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon post "ChatGPT" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$35.7
Will Elon post "China" on X this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$21.37
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.24
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$99.4
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.4
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$52.08
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+99%+$65.17
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.09
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$445.08
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.96
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+261%+$72.3
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+79%+$78.96
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+551.3%+$165.38
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+316.7%+$57
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+32.3%+$179.1
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$756.11
All 19 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $56.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$164.11
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $58B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$62.14
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 iPhone revenue be above $52B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$109.47
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Wearables, Home and Accessories revenue be above $8.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$49.79
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $22B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+40%+$57.13
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15,048Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$5,050.03
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$852.22
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$122.11
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.35
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $300?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+47%+$47.23
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64.7
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$44.19
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$78.51
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.19
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+87.8%+$138.71
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+141.8%+$118.84
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+52.5%+$11.93
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
All 15 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick33cpaid+387.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$306.13
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+75%+$185.2
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.3
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+4,044.4%+$927.94
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$1,100
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+506%+$1,574.82
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.79
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$92.16
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+389.4%+$171.01
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.19
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.83
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$117
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$702.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+536.6%+$118.04
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 90,000 and 100,000 voters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.03
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.69
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$283.87
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.41
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$588.61
Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$110.53
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$277
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+380.4%+$1,970.12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.1
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.23
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$33.69
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.33
Will Justin Bieber feature SZA during his Coachella performances?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.5%+$131.7
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.4%+$128.35
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.7%+$305.93
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.98
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$37.72
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.04
NATO downs another Russian drone by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+27%+$15.57
Zelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$47.2
Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.21
Will Trump accuse Russia of election interference by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Trump accuse Iran of election interference by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$146.09
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$192.84
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$17.88
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+36.5%+$13.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$52.7
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$612
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+450.6%+$410
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.39
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+437.1%+$85.45
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick36cpaid+121.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Boxing — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRobacked RoRo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$29.2
La Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keobacked Kidd Keo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
La Velada del Año 6: La Parce vs Fabiana Sevillanobacked Parce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$133.16
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MXbacked Clersss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+852.4%+$537
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+170.3%+$44.1
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+83.2%+$153.49
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,620Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,035.92
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.62
Boxing: Adam22 vs. Jason Luvbacked Jason Luv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.31
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
Trump announces new drug boat strike by February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.52
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+199.8%+$53.31
Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.29
Will Trump say "Drill" or "Drilling" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$71.68
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+193.3%+$180.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-79%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick23cpaid-16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+98.7%+$10.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
F1: Will Max Verstappen Announce Move to New Team on July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2026 MLB Home Run Derby: Total Home Runs O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2026 NBA All-Star Celebrity Game: Winnerbacked Anderson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.