Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fbf7e67a404e4d2fc09f6c3598fef80776f61988e44de297e0e412402420003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 3c | 5,448$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…01cfbacked Yes | 18c | 4,692$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -80%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…0b43backed No | 78c | 4,641$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.6 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 4c | 4,207$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b49…213abacked Yes | 23c | 3,860$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da5…90c9backed Yes | 20c | 3,564$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…17f2backed Yes | 21c | 3,473$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 79c | 3,238$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.61 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed Yes | 3c | 2,862$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes | 18c | 1,981$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.33 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 34c | 1,545$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.86 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 18c | 1,270$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…5b55backed Yes | 5c | 1,231$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…7b13backed Yes | 9c | 983.43$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 965$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ae…c464backed Yes | 24c | 855.28$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 849.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 4c | 828.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…81eabacked Yes | 18c | 755.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…1ad9backed Yes | 24c | 742.4$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 76c | 735.28$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.58 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 15c | 706.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…89d6backed Yes | 16c | 698.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 18c | 520.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…b806backed Yes | 25c | 507.64$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5c…c2e0backed Yes | 3c | 436.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 34c | 425.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc640…ccbebacked Yes | 25c | 360.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 20c | 344.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 17c | 285.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…9348backed Yes | 9c | 284.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…6e62backed Yes | 18c | 274.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed Yes | 16c | 187.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 18c | 176.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…cbd5backed Yes | 19c | 146.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…6df9backed Yes | 9c | 144.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 15c | 133.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 29c | 124.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e5…3f4abacked Yes | 24c | 115.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Yes | 17c | 103.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…8cf6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…1a41backed Yes | 34c | 98.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…9df0backed Yes | 18c | 97.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…8492backed Yes | 21c | 94.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 29c | 89.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe441…c9b7backed Yes | 18c | 88.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 79c | 85.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…3d11backed Yes | 37c | 72.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 21c | 71.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 18c | 63.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 21c | 63.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 33c | 55.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…89cbbacked Yes | 30c | 44.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 80c | 30.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…05ccbacked No | 78c | 22.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 80c | 19.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked No | 77c | 18.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?this page
- Will XRP dip to $0.60 in April?No won
- Will XRP dip to $0.80 in April?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?No won
- Will XRP reach $1.40 in April?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?No won
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in April?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.