TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f05…a70f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Commodities, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT13423.1%31 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on May 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$18.59
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+215.4%+$32.31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$77.16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$10.78
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.83
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+158%+$15.8
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$19.93
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.21
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$78.51
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.99
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.83
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$9.48
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+140%+$28.27
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$23.83
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+203.1%+$26.37
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$13.18
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$24.31
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.92
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+211.5%+$105.76
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$22.55
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.9
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.84
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.83
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$100.12
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$183.98
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.81
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.38
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$22.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.78
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$118.33
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$79.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+492.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+492.5%+$103.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Ketlen Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)backed AJ Auxerre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.