Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x053f95738ace6c99e1571e0461feed7392fb646efa0d37ec775237e14152ecc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,065,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,965,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,065,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,547 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1887…678abacked Yes | 61c | 8,269,546$5,038,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,038,418.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 40c | 892,354$355,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537,027.54 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 39c | 733,283$286,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446,317.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 711,358$401,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309,489.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 39c | 491,803$191,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299,999.74 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 39c | 462,393$180,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282,059.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 39c | 415,691$162,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252,802.5 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 39c | 364,000$140,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,039.95 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 59c | 358,328$210,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210,870.28 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 39c | 357,714$137,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219,945.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 41c | 338,634$138,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199,793.98 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 39c | 320,642$125,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,333.9 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 39c | 283,253$110,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172,784.33 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 42c | 277,964$117,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,968.1 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 275,338$107,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,475.53 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 30c | 269,999$81,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,999.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 39c | 247,896$96,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,216.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 41c | 245,422$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,421.69 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 42c | 203,951$84,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,156.89 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked No | 40c | 200,000$80,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 39c | 200,000$78,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,500 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 39c | 200,000$77,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,999.86 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 40c | 199,652$79,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,892.22 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 39c | 190,000$74,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,900 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Yes | 60c | 173,423$104,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,053.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 39c | 154,628$60,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,323.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 39c | 151,989$59,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,425.84 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 39c | 145,900$56,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,997.72 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 39c | 145,233$56,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,592.18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 39c | 144,378$56,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,070.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 74c | 141,349$104,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,462.8 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 40c | 96,366$38,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,693.03 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 39c | 95,244$37,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,042.38 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 40c | 74,867$29,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,110.63 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 29c | 59,108$17,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,070.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 58,786$22,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,865.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 38c | 57,400$21,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,588 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 39c | 57,010$22,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,776.07 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 39c | 56,552$22,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,496.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 39c | 55,734$21,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,997.74 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 39c | 55,435$21,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,702.96 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 39c | 54,558$21,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,280.51 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 40c | 53,178$21,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,906.77 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed No | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 47,444$19,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,945.23 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked No | 40c | 46,007$18,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,604.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 39c | 45,782$17,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,926.94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed No | 39c | 45,650$17,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,846.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 39c | 43,140$16,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,412.77 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked No | 39c | 39,000$15,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,790 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed No | 39c | 38,462$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,461.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 39c | 37,500$14,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,875 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 39c | 35,334$13,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,581.68 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 40c | 34,589$14,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,587.25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 39c | 34,000$13,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,740 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 60c | 33,266$19,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,959.51 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 39c | 33,225$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed No | 39c | 32,170$12,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,623.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 41c | 31,686$12,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,694.92 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 44c | 31,435$13,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,869.8 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 61c | 31,000$18,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,910 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 41c | 30,500$12,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,995 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 39c | 30,180$11,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,367.35 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 29,807$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,806.86 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 61c | 27,705$16,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,844.58 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a4…856ebacked No | 41c | 27,355$11,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,135.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 26,396$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked No | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,750 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 41c | 25,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,800 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Yes | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,249.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked No | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,749.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 40c | 24,593$9,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,674.47 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 15c | 24,398$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 39c | 24,338$9,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,862.37 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 28c | 23,330$6,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,432.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 40c | 22,646$9,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,133.86 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 43c | 22,320$9,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,722.7 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 38c | 21,888$8,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,462.79 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 39c | 21,000$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,809.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 60c | 19,163$11,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,498 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 40c | 18,990$7,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,312.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Yes | 20c | 18,920$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.79 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 39c | 18,690$7,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,321.96 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 40c | 18,664$7,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,161.82 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 39c | 18,330$7,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,181.23 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 18,029$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 17,979$10,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,632.54 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 39c | 17,893$6,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,914.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 39c | 16,728$6,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,204.08 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Yes | 46c | 16,423$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 41c | 16,016$6,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,486.66 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Yes | 4c | 15,888$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 45c | 15,621$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.56 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 39c | 15,475$6,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,439.76 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 40c | 14,747$5,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,816.25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…38f8backed No | 40c | 14,554$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,732.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e11…b282backed No | 40c | 14,520$5,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,712 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 39c | 14,500$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,775 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.