TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x896a…688d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT11031.8%35 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$919.5
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,026.32
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$2,827.5
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,999.98
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$1,230
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,331.64
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.99
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,380
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,054.93
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,540Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+126%+$4,459.92
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240
Mexico leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$132.02
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$810
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,660
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$14,939.96
Morocco to score first vs. Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,052.47
Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,765.54
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+282%+$1,478.77
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,906.73
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,596.22
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.87
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,880
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,129.99
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$3,500
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,830Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,169.99
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,350
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$930
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$1,022.11
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.98
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$341
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.6
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.19
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,684.03
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.98
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$824
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$314
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$8,116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$4,193.36
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.6
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$273.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$1,213.72
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,319.99
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+140.7%+$464.96
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+248.7%+$1,830.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$329.99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$770
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,259.98
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$1,599.97
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$528
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,264.97
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.99
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,450.37
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$111.06
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,958
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+147%+$146.96
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$514.29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+270.4%+$135.19
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$8,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$12,809.98
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,750
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$8,547.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,760
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,510
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,880Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,620
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$445.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,845
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$866.23
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,679Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,318.62
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$51.87
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+203%+$426.36
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+181.1%+$412.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$58.76
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,220
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7,740
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$966
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,049.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$503.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,011.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,682.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$159
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+400%+$1,280
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$420.5
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$300
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$275
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$110.47
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$57.4
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,110.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,380
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,150
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,715
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$331.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,181.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$768
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,915Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,190.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$437
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+300%+$1,499.97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58.97
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$55.8
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,360
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.52
Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.98
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.98
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$867.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.4
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$46.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$174.04
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$122.73
Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.54
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$370.46
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$97.37
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,760
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,007.94
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.96
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$149.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,107
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+87%+$134.69
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+163.2%+$163.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+200.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,472Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+200.1%+$2,945.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,792Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10,608
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.4%+$112.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delaware State Hornets vs. South Carolina State Bulldogsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$135
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.