TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$570,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$589,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes39c98,674$38,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,941.724139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No49c34,268$16,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,476.593351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c24,958$12,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,616.6852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes51c24,033$12,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,164.44438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes52c20,788$10,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,767.111650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No50c20,330$10,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,164.862437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2002157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No49c17,170$8,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,756.632642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c16,959$8,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,525.224044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No49c16,937$8,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,637.661241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes51c14,559$7,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,425.092528%7 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c12,329$6,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,226.3987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No49c12,110$5,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,135.716443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c11,937$8,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,697.0662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes16c10,441$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.615642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1001573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No49c9,792$4,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,994.154447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x18e3…0da5backed Yes51c9,628$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No50c9,297$4,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,648.621888.9%16 W · 2 L+7.1wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+94.4%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5002853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes51c8,567$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.65650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes50c7,632$3,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,803.194045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0606553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.911136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Yes50c5,432$2,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,716825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes10c5,132$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.112321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No49c5,030$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,565.291957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes11c4,906$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.861040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes7c4,903$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c4,802$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.111,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Yes10c4,703$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes8c4,279$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.251,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes51c4,056$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.3523250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No50c4,020$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0101225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c3,920$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.7226660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5301233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601163.6%7 W · 4 L+4.6wins+0.42per pick22cpaid+183%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c2,956$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c2,825$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1911916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No49c2,693$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.3211070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No49c2,531$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.783756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes50c2,514$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.8724349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes51c2,474$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No49c2,400$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.9830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes50c2,134$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0673540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes51c2,093$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.66933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No49c2,077$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.714770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed No49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No50c1,998$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No49c1,981$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.268143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9705538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No50c1,940$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9701346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes51c1,903$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes17c1,677$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.06520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f1…31a0backed No50c1,649$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.6333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes51c1,540$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x751d…9f55backed Yes50c1,520$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes50c1,509$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes50c1,358$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6793644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes50c1,358$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6791154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes52c1,287$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes27c1,248$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.952123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Yes16c1,154$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc93…1489backed Yes52c1,152$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8142…f311backed Yes41c1,140$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.25352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c1,044$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.7523342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes40c1,042$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.924723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No50c1,020$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No75c1,010$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.387953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes49c999.89$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.941040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes50c988.7$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.352857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes25c955$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.247227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.31643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6205%1 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-84.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No51c873.54$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes20c856.68$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.08714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes26c849.47$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.892630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes46c842.78$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.42857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Yes45c800$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.052147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes6c786.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.18922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No79c761.87$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes15c707.67$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.11922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes30c671.92$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.431553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes50c669.3$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.653141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes23c649.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.194431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c645.87$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0326041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes50c619.11$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No51c609$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.412369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked Yes33c599.93$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.982015%3 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-67.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes25c583.5$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.094330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa70…5501backed No50c582$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes52c560.8$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.051526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c539.87$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2627049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No50c538.35$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.184468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Yes51c530.78$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.