TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3a80…49bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
235
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT6457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.24
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.68
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$257.02
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105.49
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.3
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$96.84
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$47.4
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.85
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$74
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$62.94
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.98
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.89
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$152.99
Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.41
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$78.29
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$105.29
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$76.46
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$75.59
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.87
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will UD Almería win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$599.91
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.06
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$52.66
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.42
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.96
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$158.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.76
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.68
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$44.67
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,098.2
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$50.47
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.06
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$60.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$50.4
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.36
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$81.47
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$102.07
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$47.25
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$54.05
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$217.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$224.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$338
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$844Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$835.13
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$61.96
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$120.41
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$103.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$146.44
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$96.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$115.56
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.99
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$264.11
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.49
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.13
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+73.8%+$64.55
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$42.68
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$65.08
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$130
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$123.95
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. Hertha BSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$50.7
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.5
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$78.46
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.9
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
FC Augsburg vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.65
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$65.18
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$284
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$53.57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$51.6
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$74.65
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. SC Paderborn 07: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$89.64
FC Schalke 04 vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$116
VfL Bochum vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$50
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.6
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.57
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.55
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$40.24
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.54
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.69
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.59
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.55
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$60.26
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.45
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$72.7
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-16.5)backed North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.34
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.21
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$84.81
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.33
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$120.05
Louisville Cardinals vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.15
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$137.31
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.61
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$163.74
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.88
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.38
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.01
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$100.5
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.54
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$200.22
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$57.55
SK Sigma Olomouc vs. FC Lausanne-Sport: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.5
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+40.8%+$101.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$102.55
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$128.58
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.11
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$100.46
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$44.75
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$40.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.53
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$101.38
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.95
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.2
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.6
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.4
SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$50.9
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.92
ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$59.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$50.22
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.61
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$224.89
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.13
Fenerbahce vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36.48
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$85.69
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$238.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.