TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,416

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes63c9,761$6,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.388363.9%53 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c5,097$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.961,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No38c3,851$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.4912651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No16c3,719$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.2648141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c3,249$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.772,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No18c1,823$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.7143532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No12c1,750$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9981732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes63c1,555$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.245455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No36c1,326$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.464043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c1,124$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.191,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No37c1,075$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.833756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes63c1,065$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.4517247.1%81 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No14c999.61$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.173,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes62c964.59$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.542236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No33c833.18$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.76921.7%15 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No36c782$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.523935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes63c554.61$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.215160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No10c520.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2921355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c491.97$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1163645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes64c432.47$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.692669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes64c413.04$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.694161%25 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No36c402.61$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.948448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Yes64c355.13$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.852152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes63c335$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.952462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes63c315.81$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes64c305.75$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.071650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No35c299.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10542046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes64c294.88$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1611741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes64c293.52$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6724050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes63c259.8$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.134134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No38c257.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.253140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes62c246.22$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.538646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No7c240.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8638…4c31backed Yes64c229.31$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No36c205.79$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3833047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x050e…7543backed Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes62c199.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9911539.1%45 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7079…718dbacked Yes62c199.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+63.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No10c189.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7717852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No37c185$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.213644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0168…0905backed Yes63c177.84$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes62c158.26$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5610554.3%57 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa05f…2465backed Yes62c155$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Yes63c153.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.962286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+38.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ad5…1d61backed Yes64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.043953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02e…2ae7backed Yes65c149.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes65c133.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3611049.1%54 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes62c130.82$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.711154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bcc…e06fbacked Yes65c130.28$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.61650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.816343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes63c119.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.14165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Yes66c118.72$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.35683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes65c118.06$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8818554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes65c118.06$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8810647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdaf…e58fbacked No38c109.87$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes63c108.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.22466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes63c108.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.219055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No36c101.22$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Yes63c99.88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.962254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bf…0169backed Yes64c91.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.02875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes64c86.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.284353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No36c84.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.474528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes62c83.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8948146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No35c82.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.838846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed No38c81.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4999…dea5backed Yes63c77.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes63c77.14$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.232556%14 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…0dfebacked Yes64c76.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+105.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd035…57afbacked Yes64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.523452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes64c76.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3115048%72 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Yes64c75.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.011392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick64cpaid+45.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f62…a825backed Yes65c68.53$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes64c68.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.661553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No36c64.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1549647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73e4…fb79backed Yes63c61.84$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No36c61.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.195251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x029e…36ddbacked Yes64c61.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes76c58.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1739857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes62c55.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.962755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed No35c54.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.221560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0524…35fabacked Yes61c54.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.234100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked No38c50.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.263154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb51…be1cbacked Yes63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93b…9e73backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No36c49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.641,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Yes65c48.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.136369.8%44 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0796…8264backed Yes67c48.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.221376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ee…31aebacked No23c47.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes63c46.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.322958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes63c46.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.412147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes64c45.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.515440.7%22 W · 32 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Yes64c45.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.518863.6%56 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x611c…a931backed Yes64c45.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Yes65c45.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.812250%11 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No36c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.29150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9043…af14backed Yes66c44.68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.191560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Yes63c44.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.616854.4%37 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes64c41.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0712346.3%57 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.