TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc93b…9e73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
253
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT6066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 194.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$88.2
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Timberwolves vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.8
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$17.1
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.3
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.7
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.04
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+97%+$30.1
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$16.4
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$25.8
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$39
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinebacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidelbacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$17.6
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Cristina Bucsabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Taburbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$16.19
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Bordeaux: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Valencia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nicolas Alvarez Varonabacked Nicolas Alvarez Varona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+77%+$8.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.1
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$162.29
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.13
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.8
Yokkaichi: Renta Tokuda vs August Holmgrenbacked Renta Tokuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Yokkaichi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Yokkaichi: Kokoro Isomura vs Dan Addedbacked Kokoro Isomura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Miami Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hellenic Championship, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.46
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anna Blinkovabacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$30.65
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna Blinkovabacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$12.01
Chennai Open: Arina Rodionova vs Storm Hunterbacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondarbacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$43.4
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$158.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.41
Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.29
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$14.09
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.18
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$16.99
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$95.86
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$67.21
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$28.69
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+127.6%+$43.44
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$12.71
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35.11
Spread: Manchester City (-0.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$15.5
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.47
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$5.05
Oilers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+84%+$16.73
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+43%+$21.62
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.1
Senators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$17.58
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$37.61
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$9.75
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$31.75
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.30per pick61cpaid-53.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.93
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.69
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$129.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$98.91
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$124
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 27?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 22?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$256
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 22?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.6
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$315.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29%+$22.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.93
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$108.4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.6
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$21.36
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$100.21
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$53.57
Will Atalanta win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.37
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$12.92
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$3.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Zomblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Morningstar (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.6
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$30.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-63.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego State vs. Hawaiibacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$27.73
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$9.4
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Austria win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$19.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.19
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alanyaspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Kayserispor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.