TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Louis Cardinalsof Pittsburgh Pirates, St. Louis Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$357,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked St. Louis Cardinals52c32,631$16,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,663.1113340.6%54 W · 79 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c31,250$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked St. Louis Cardinals54c30,301$16,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,868.3126056.9%148 W · 112 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates32c28,581$9,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,288.7710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals52c27,948$14,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,414.9777053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c24,718$11,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,864.4886548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed St. Louis Cardinals55c22,481$12,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,116.6114042.9%60 W · 80 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates40c21,316$8,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,510.392,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c20…66a9backed St. Louis Cardinals78c13,939$10,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.962268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals53c13,853$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,537.851,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Pittsburgh Pirates65c10,500$6,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,824.9711548.7%56 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked St. Louis Cardinals51c9,758$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,758.1724344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates45c7,392$3,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,321.66,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c7,003$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.321,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates41c6,696$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.358,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates39c5,768$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.612,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked St. Louis Cardinals38c5,263$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.1612227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates44c5,004$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.251,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dab…e5c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates0c5,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9611228.6%32 W · 80 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…31f1backed Pittsburgh Pirates20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates40c4,737$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,882.488,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c4,500$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.985,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed St. Louis Cardinals55c4,319$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.1815659%92 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates38c4,315$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.381,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates41c4,106$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.065,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c4,010$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c3,280$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.382,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked St. Louis Cardinals55c3,197$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.2711947.1%56 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed St. Louis Cardinals52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9977951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.981,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals59c2,943$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.674,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked St. Louis Cardinals51c2,771$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.7653150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c2,752$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.082,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals53c2,294$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.489153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Pittsburgh Pirates11c1,724$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1621146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.161,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c1,644$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.211,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates37c1,626$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.099,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked St. Louis Cardinals51c1,525$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.6844451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals46c1,482$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7988,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed St. Louis Cardinals50c1,427$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.5360451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked St. Louis Cardinals70c1,408$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5544556.9%253 W · 192 L+27.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Pittsburgh Pirates15c1,180$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.058125.9%21 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates41c1,152$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.951,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals52c1,140$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.191,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates3c1,124$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.537010%7 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked St. Louis Cardinals54c1,112$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.765236.5%19 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Pittsburgh Pirates23c1,073$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1632751.7%169 W · 158 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates45c1,052$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.331,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c1,043$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.673949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates56c1,040$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.771,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8d…a92abacked St. Louis Cardinals53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47023754%128 W · 109 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates50c986.97$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.492055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c966.07$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.582,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c950$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals52c942.53$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.596,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals53c897.96$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.364,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates35c823$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.511,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates38c811.45$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3528453.9%153 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Pittsburgh Pirates29c788$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5214142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked St. Louis Cardinals76c689.11$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.853261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed St. Louis Cardinals52c661.47$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5173748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed St. Louis Cardinals53c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.381,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates56c644.44$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.734,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c628.02$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.4549158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c620.9$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.331,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Pittsburgh Pirates47c612.84$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7351547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28885952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed St. Louis Cardinals51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.241566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed St. Louis Cardinals53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0413743.8%60 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked St. Louis Cardinals69c565.74$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.8557758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Pittsburgh Pirates28c556.63$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0999624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Pittsburgh Pirates20c543.66$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1857046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed St. Louis Cardinals77c505.56$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.947589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Pittsburgh Pirates22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked St. Louis Cardinals52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24025249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed St. Louis Cardinals36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.425240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22027552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked St. Louis Cardinals56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22017768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Pittsburgh Pirates4c493.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.734320.9%9 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick11cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates51c481.43$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.934,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c479.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.468846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028045.7%128 W · 152 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Pittsburgh Pirates48c451$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4844643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6597…b746backed Pittsburgh Pirates22c450$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9925351.8%131 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Pittsburgh Pirates31c415$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7570735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed St. Louis Cardinals72c403.82$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0734650.9%176 W · 170 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates30c387$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5194655.3%523 W · 423 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Pittsburgh Pirates46c386.74$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.441,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed St. Louis Cardinals79c383.54$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.546653%35 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Pittsburgh Pirates14c381.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.321,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals54c368.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.922,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked St. Louis Cardinals71c350$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211549.6%57 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates12c342.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9533515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates49c332.65$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16373243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed St. Louis Cardinals41c317.46$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3610744.9%48 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.