TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x528f…2101

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,462
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst Olympics at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1,026 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Rio Noguchibacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$666.36
US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$464.84
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+90%+$607.43
US Open, Qualification ATP: Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchisbacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,289
Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Facundo Mena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$361.82
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$741
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+41%+$161.25
US Open, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moellerbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$400.69
Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$769
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$750.06
US Open, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Heather Watsonbacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$755
US Open, Qualification ATP: Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$491.71
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$78.71
US Open, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Jordan Leebacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$267.06
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.7
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$233.61
Winston-Salem Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Darwin Blanchbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$182.51
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Anna Bondar vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$202.27
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$286.2
Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+209.2%+$393.36
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$207.33
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Quinn Vandecasteele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+122%+$478.32
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$58.33
Roehampton 2: Andreja Petrovic vs John Echeverriabacked John Echeverria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Showing 25 of 1,026 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT17353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,928Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$862.35
Will Caleb Malhotra be drafted with the 3rd pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$63.58
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Jordan Staal win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.5
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,370Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$360.56
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$817.35
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,979.95
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+270.8%+$1,345.95
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+245.9%+$426.61
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$645
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$584.52
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,651Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$1,846.97
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.1
World Championships: Latvia vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,220
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$596
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$117.18
World Championships: Canada vs. Norwaybacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$178.41
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$780.99
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Norwaybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$115.22
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8853.4%47 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,278Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$522
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$790.29
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$903.3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.1
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$561
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.74
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$307.54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.5
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$106.03
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$277.78
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96.92
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$164.49
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.2
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$553
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$122.14
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$364.78
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$63.74
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$53
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$200.99
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT6653%35 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,871Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$1,408.49
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$469.84
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$413
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$306.47
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.32
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+382%+$542.43
Will Willson Contreras win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$314.01
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$436.45
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.1
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$438.46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$738
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$537.27
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$359
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$82.28
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$195.56
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.95
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$526.67
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,792Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$515.44
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT382.6%1 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick13cpaid-95.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Golf — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$331
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.74
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,345.56
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.93
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.86
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.98
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.12
Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
The Masters 2026: Hole in One?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$229.64
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.05
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$606.45
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102.18
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$233
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$80.81
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$101.11
Will UCLA win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.34
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,351Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33%+$1,104.54
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.77
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.58
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$794.42
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$705.96
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$520.04
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$52.16
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.92
Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$396.38
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.96
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$471.27
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,725
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$375.23
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$424.32
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$524.56
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$365.58
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$182.81
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$121.47
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$282.35
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$86.29
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.6%+$813.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,376.74
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+33%+$306.54
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.96
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,326
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.87
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.77
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$168
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,684Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,667.93
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$971
All 12 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$135.45
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$58.55
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$161.05
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+27%+$173.02
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick61cpaid-77.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$81.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.