Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x886f7aba09c14bcbd9adea9ab163a3a7fe8c09c7927bde2c20b14e489d6883bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa94f…6d6fbacked Yes | 16c | 11,875$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked No | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 15c | 9,361$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.7 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +341.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 22c | 8,680$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.65 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…4027backed Yes | 16c | 7,013$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 15c | 4,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 14c | 3,948$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.76 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes | 31c | 3,924$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 34c | 3,887$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 13c | 3,600$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,527$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…1f2ebacked Yes | 35c | 3,063$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…6e45backed Yes | 33c | 3,014$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 20c | 3,009$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.12 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,398$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 69c | 2,235$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.15 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 68c | 2,210$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.4 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 20c | 2,169$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,083$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…d076backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…a3b4backed Yes | 16c | 1,869$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 16c | 1,831$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.91 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked Yes | 16c | 1,764$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 65c | 1,655$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.34 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Yes | 16c | 1,601$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 65c | 1,590$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.25 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 16c | 1,555$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 64c | 1,503$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.51 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,503$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 1,439$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.99 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 66c | 1,384$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x541f…f133backed Yes | 16c | 1,370$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…72debacked Yes | 34c | 1,359$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 15c | 1,292$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…96a9backed Yes | 16c | 1,269$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458a…b61dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde13…2310backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…c694backed Yes | 16c | 1,246$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 19c | 1,240$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 1,159$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.64 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Yes | 16c | 1,156$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…adcebacked Yes | 10c | 1,150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 9c | 1,146$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Yes | 16c | 1,106$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 1,071$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.57 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 1,048$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.01 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes | 18c | 1,036$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed No | 70c | 999.97$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 16c | 999$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…8016backed Yes | 17c | 978.22$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…613abacked Yes | 16c | 955.63$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…2c91backed Yes | 23c | 953.36$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x837a…77e1backed Yes | 15c | 951.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…3763backed Yes | 16c | 885.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 40c | 865.9$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…427dbacked Yes | 16c | 829.56$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 800.93$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.16 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed No | 65c | 772.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.22 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 67c | 699.98$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Yes | 20c | 692.36$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 15c | 691.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…131fbacked Yes | 16c | 679.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…fc9bbacked Yes | 16c | 672$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…fe78backed Yes | 17c | 650.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…2b8cbacked Yes | 31c | 649$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d2…070cbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 619$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…6c6ebacked Yes | 17c | 600.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…610abacked Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…4098backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Yes | 17c | 588.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…c817backed Yes | 17c | 583.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe50…6eb6backed Yes | 29c | 580$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…82e2backed Yes | 38c | 577.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 75c | 564.83$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…27bebacked Yes | 17c | 555.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 18c | 543.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 16c | 530$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -91%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 525$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f61…67b8backed Yes | 8c | 503.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…1fa8backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…3721backed Yes | 18c | 492.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x763a…b24abacked Yes | 7c | 490.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 29c | 489.03$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…adadbacked No | 67c | 458.54$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…a938backed Yes | 33c | 453.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 24c | 445.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…dd01backed No | 66c | 440$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa238…9a1bbacked Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…9377backed Yes | 16c | 413.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…978ebacked Yes | 17c | 409.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.