TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d36…8f64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9237%34 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$966.41
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$575.86
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$56.4
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
England vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.17
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.2
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.37
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.58
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.78
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$147.83
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.27
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$259.66
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.68
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.9
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.02
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.41
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$93.43
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$592.16
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$1,662.93
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.58
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$172.08
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.64
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.23
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$266.58
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.2
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.4
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$189.61
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.91
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$228.85
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$218.36
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.84
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$78.54
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$101.67
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.52
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$204.34
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.12
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$169.88
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.24
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$200.78
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+366.8%+$474.79
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$93.76
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$137.3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$327.9
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$280.43
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$575.27
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$294
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.9%+$710.33
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$706.78
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+641.4%+$3,445.35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.97
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$953.71
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+113.7%+$542.64
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+191.4%+$917.86
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$478.85
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,150.35
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.67
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+89.6%+$488.01
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 22 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-92.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.63
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$220.84
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$220.79
Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.34
Will Benoît Saint Denis win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.67
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.73
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+263.8%+$382.48
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$243.14
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.26
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Steve Garcia win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$109.49
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$420
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$578.6
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$103.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-23.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,431Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+498%+$17,085.17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.3
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.91
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.1%+$754.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-72.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.