NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe420719ad966e52aa01b4509cb2112e8546da5f3fd709bbe6af7ba78ee670f29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,349,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,568,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,349,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,631 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Pistons | 54c | 470,000$253,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253,799.84 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 45c | 350,209$157,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,614.9 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Pistons | 55c | 257,285$141,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,506.71 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Magic | 49c | 252,506$124,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,662.52 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…110fbacked Pistons | 0c | 196,791$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic | 57c | 192,962$109,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,985.1 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 55c | 192,746$105,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,687.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons | 55c | 168,660$92,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,762.9 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 55c | 155,036$84,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,311.53 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 16c | 143,722$22,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,816.63 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Magic | 46c | 122,002$56,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,880.94 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Pistons | 38c | 121,827$46,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,244.84 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Pistons | 40c | 119,345$48,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,230.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Magic | 44c | 99,246$43,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,577.63 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 43c | 87,865$37,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,083.09 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 65c | 83,502$54,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,244.17 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Magic | 73c | 77,027$56,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,769.53 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Magic | 62c | 69,977$43,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,721.95 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Magic | 46c | 62,927$28,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,980.82 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Pistons | 37c | 59,598$22,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,051.3 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Magic | 46c | 58,056$26,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,350.24 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 57c | 56,796$32,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,287.07 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Pistons | 48c | 42,350$20,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,240.09 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Magic | 73c | 38,526$28,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,424.21 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 45c | 36,219$16,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,790.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Magic | 46c | 35,801$16,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,332.65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Pistons | 12c | 34,829$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.94 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 28c | 32,907$9,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,226.11 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Pistons | 35c | 30,934$10,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,721.32 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Pistons | 47c | 25,477$12,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,100.96 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Magic | 48c | 24,589$11,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,905.84 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Magic | 45c | 24,582$11,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,469.61 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Magic | 69c | 23,536$16,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,343.27 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 69c | 20,707$14,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Magic | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.99 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Magic | 80c | 19,556$15,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.24 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 62c | 19,103$11,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,181.85 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Magic | 62c | 18,734$11,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,074.76 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Pistons | 54c | 18,423$9,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,937.71 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Pistons | 14c | 18,177$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.44 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Pistons | 4c | 17,878$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.03 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Pistons | 22c | 17,798$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.81 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Pistons | 55c | 16,904$9,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,236.19 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pistons | 43c | 16,162$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.58 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.91 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Pistons | 49c | 14,788$7,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,230.21 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Pistons | 51c | 14,554$7,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,470.09 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…8f40backed Pistons | 0c | 13,202$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Pistons | 56c | 13,000$7,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Magic | 63c | 12,555$7,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.35 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Pistons | 54c | 11,946$6,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,470.3 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Pistons | 47c | 11,936$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.78 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Pistons | 50c | 10,618$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Pistons | 8c | 10,595$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.15 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 41c | 10,431$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.45 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 44c | 9,838$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.46 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Magic | 44c | 9,664$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.84 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…e4afbacked Pistons | 38c | 9,642$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.77 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Magic | 79c | 9,367$7,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.44 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Pistons | 44c | 9,039$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.62 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Pistons | 57c | 8,957$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065.5 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pistons | 24c | 8,869$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.46 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Magic | 47c | 8,663$4,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.07 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Pistons | 57c | 8,546$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Pistons | 56c | 8,040$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.34 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Pistons | 40c | 7,962$3,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.52 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a3…8275backed Pistons | 45c | 7,935$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Magic | 68c | 7,930$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.52 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Pistons | 55c | 7,873$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.89 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Pistons | 48c | 7,829$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Pistons | 55c | 7,392$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.12 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Pistons | 53c | 7,334$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.2 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 34c | 6,847$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Pistons | 24c | 6,767$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.75 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Pistons | 34c | 6,479$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Magic | 64c | 6,374$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.51 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pistons | 39c | 6,107$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.18 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Pistons | 41c | 6,104$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.43 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 73c | 5,937$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.01 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Pistons | 27c | 5,917$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.91 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Magic | 73c | 5,903$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.76 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Pistons | 31c | 5,895$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.31 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Pistons | 47c | 5,804$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.05 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Magic | 79c | 5,677$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.37 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Pistons | 48c | 5,637$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.11 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Pistons | 55c | 5,552$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.81 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Pistons | 35c | 5,521$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.39 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Pistons | 32c | 5,330$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.52 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons | 40c | 5,289$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.76 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons | 10c | 5,288$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.78 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Magic | 63c | 5,231$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.93 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…6ac7backed Pistons | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Pistons | 42c | 4,970$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.63 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Pistons | 12c | 4,964$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.84 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Pistons | 47c | 4,905$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.78 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…c21cbacked Pistons | 48c | 4,726$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Magic | 60c | 4,650$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.07 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Magic | 67c | 4,630$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.24 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Magic | 60c | 4,609$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.85 | 179 | 62%111 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pistons | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.