NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84630d1cdf52d5a7257a41faaba0c8d911e6ab92c17cb7e950e53ada6b0f1cf

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,222 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	54c	6,742$3,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,107.27	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over	47c	4,732$2,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,527.52	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over	58c	3,774$2,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,603.67	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under	50c	2,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over	63c	2,418$1,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.7	79	63.3%50 W · 29 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	40c	2,249$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.76	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	43c	2,063$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.42	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	65c	1,984$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.12	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	52c	1,645$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.38	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed Over	44c	1,200$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	32c	1,193$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.46	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	49c	1,139$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.11	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under	56c	1,049$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.58	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under	42c	984.96$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.69	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under	54c	975.51$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.77	207	44%91 W · 116 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	58c	907.55$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.8	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	48c	869.62$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.2	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	11c	831.21$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.37	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6048…2711backed Under	54c	720.3$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.96	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	11c	665.72$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.1	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Under	47c	618$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.46	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	33c	552.61$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.36	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	48c	479.8$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.12	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over	41c	470.54$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.62	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	46c	424.43$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.52	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under	52c	422.1$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.49	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1dd…e4a3backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under	61c	390.64$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.23	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over	50c	388$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Under	58c	337.47$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.08	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-14.9wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under	44c	329.59$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.96	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Under	49c	296.76$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.41	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under	53c	275.48$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.76	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over	46c	255.94$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.33	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	47c	251.69$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.18	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Over	59c	247.98$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.67	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under	45c	232.37$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.57	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Over	42c	229.81$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.29	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+4.3wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	45c	228.8$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.89	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	44c	212.07$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.31	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	45c	207.19$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.3	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	46c	204.6$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.4	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Under	52c	186.77$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.12	165	55.2%91 W · 74 L	-12.1wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0928…7200backed Over	62c	186.29$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.98	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under	55c	177.76$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.28	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under	55c	123.39$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.49	216	40.3%87 W · 129 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under	74c	119.98$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.59	463	46.4%215 W · 248 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	44c	114.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.12	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under	38c	114.01$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.33	931	45.8%426 W · 505 L	-25.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over	52c	106.75$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.04	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	-7.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under	33c	104.8$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.67	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over	68c	102.69$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.85	592	55.4%328 W · 264 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	54c	100.33$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.18	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Under	41c	98.34$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.5wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Over	52c	93.75$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.19	139	49.6%69 W · 70 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Under	52c	93.38$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.56	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over	59c	91.65$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.79	246	52.8%130 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Over	46c	88.73$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.62	141	53.9%76 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Over	67c	85.3$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.3	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	32c	83.76$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.65	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under	50c	79.32$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.39	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e60…449abacked Under	19c	78.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.86	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Under	67c	73.15$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.01	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over	55c	72.93$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.01	313	45%141 W · 172 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under	40c	72.3$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over	53c	59.61$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.24	156	63.5%99 W · 57 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f68…ef58backed Under	51c	59.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under	49c	58.16$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Under	47c	58.09$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	71	19.7%14 W · 57 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7630…bf84backed Over	67c	56.77$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.95	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	43c	56.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.01	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Under	56c	55.74$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.21	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under	57c	55.45$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.78	27	70.4%19 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over	54c	55.31$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.4	160	33.1%53 W · 107 L	-17.2wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-43%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under	35c	54.23$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee2d…ba67backed Under	54c	53.93$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	38	65.8%25 W · 13 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Under	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	395	48.4%191 W · 204 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Under	54c	48.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	236	51.7%122 W · 114 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Under	51c	48.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under	51c	48.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	201	54.2%109 W · 92 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	30c	48.37$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.86	234	45.7%107 W · 127 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32eb…f531backed Under	43c	46.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	68	64.7%44 W · 24 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x130a…856cbacked Under	55c	44.23$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over	53c	43.85$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.66	410	50.7%208 W · 202 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over	69c	41.2$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.95	259	58.3%151 W · 108 L	+16.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Over	72c	41.07$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.58	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under	48c	40.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	296	65.5%194 W · 102 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Over	48c	40.37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under	55c	39.89$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.94	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-4.0wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Over	41c	38.77$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.87	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under	54c	37.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	564	54.3%306 W · 258 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9681…9199backed Under	55c	35.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	63c	34.89$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.05	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Over	55c	31.65$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.19	68	76.5%52 W · 16 L	+12.8wins	+0.19per pick	58cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under	56c	29.16$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over	53c	29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.63	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over	56c	26.65$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.73	275	53.5%147 W · 128 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Pistons vs. MagicMagic won
Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5Over won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5Over won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5Over won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5Over won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 218.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 219.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5Under won
Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Magic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event