TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd63e…0d52

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
367
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT16555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$145.55
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$85.68
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.12
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.07
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.78
Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$119.53
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$262.79
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Pistons vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$429.03
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Raptors vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Hawks vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT9161.5%56 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$72
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$41.46
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$31.68
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$63.54
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.97
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$43
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.62
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$26.58
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$78.81
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$234.33
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$78.46
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69%+$108.33
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$96.15
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4971.4%35 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$187.31
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$67.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$122.64
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$47.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.25
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.68
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.67
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$80.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$84
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$85.81
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+40%+$23.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3562.9%22 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+52.3%+$13.06
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$70.48
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$72.06
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$300
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$140.67
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$173.37
Bills vs. Texans: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$79.5
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$64.33
Falcons vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$43
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$187
Spread: Lions (-8.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,451Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$409.26
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$73.78
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$23.29
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$22.11
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.38
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$39.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$23.13
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$140.31
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$29.05
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$78.45
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$106.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$29.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$525
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$14.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.