Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02031adce30c7e8d964e131383049a2a2f45feff380417d533902b09353a195

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $30,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,152 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under	73c	13,700$10,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,698.99	113	49.6%56 W · 57 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	27c	7,453$2,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,009.41	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	27c	4,017$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.67	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over	25c	1,489$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.67	133	27.1%36 W · 97 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over	27c	1,396$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.92	139	39.6%55 W · 84 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Under	72c	1,389$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.89	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	12c	1,333$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.61	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	27c	569.63$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.77	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	30c	500.18$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over	27c	481.38$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.83	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	27c	443.41$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.78	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Under	74c	405.41$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.41	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	63cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2682…b08bbacked Under	75c	398.05$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.05	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d1d…6e84backed Over	29c	342.72$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.39	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under	74c	300$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under	75c	266.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	157	72%113 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	25c	249.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under	74c	200$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	233	53.6%125 W · 108 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Under	72c	134.92$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.19	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Under	74c	134.45$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.96	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under	74c	134.12$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.87	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over	29c	122.54$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	28c	121$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.88	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	24c	120.32$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.88	408	21.8%89 W · 319 L	-53.7wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over	26c	120$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over	28c	120$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+5.7wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over	27c	117.8$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	118	50%59 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Under	74c	114.38$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.74	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	16c	112.19$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.95	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Under	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.07per pick	69cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Under	72c	99$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.02	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Under	73c	87.67$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.67	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over	25c	79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.07	410	40.5%166 W · 244 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked Over	27c	78.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over	25c	77.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6368…d45ebacked Under	73c	75.51$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.39	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over	27c	65.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over	28c	61.21$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.95	223	35.4%79 W · 144 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d4…a401backed Under	72c	55.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b7…106cbacked Under	75c	54.67$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.67	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+56%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80c3…5ac7backed Under	74c	54.05$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.05	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	74c	43.8$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.39	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Under	72c	41.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	49	71.4%35 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	62cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23ea…1c3fbacked Under	73c	41.1$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.1	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	27c	39.39$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	27c	38.71$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.28	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over	27c	37.04$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0708…3b30backed Under	73c	34.25$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	70cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x384a…3b2dbacked Under	74c	33.84$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.85	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Under	72c	27.72$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.76	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-7.2wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under	73c	27.7$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.48	365	54.5%199 W · 166 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under	72c	27.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.71	170	53.5%91 W · 79 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Under	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	88	46.6%41 W · 47 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Under	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	85	48.2%41 W · 44 L	-8.3wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under	73c	26.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.22	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac2c…7615backed Under	74c	26.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.9	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b6…988dbacked Under	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	73cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Under	72c	20.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.83	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58cd…2e75backed Under	74c	20.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.27	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under	73c	18.58$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.02	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under	72c	17.86$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Under	73c	15.53$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.19	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbc…89d8backed Under	73c	14.53$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.92	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa3…6e41backed Under	73c	14.03$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.79	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.43per pick	68cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fbc…b85abacked Under	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5this page
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event