TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc947…3462

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$6,023.08
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,690Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,535
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,250
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+233.6%+$2,336.14
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,938Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,099.07
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.86
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.26
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.57
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$956Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$955.6
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$961.6
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,950.01
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,722Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,722.24
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$2,343.98
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$576.24
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$2,460.34
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$932.15
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$267.16
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$271.02
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,572.1
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$80.27
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$27.38
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,960.4
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,924.4
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.95
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,178.57
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,040.82
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,173.91
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$959.02
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$960.78
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Red Wings vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$405.88
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$354.72
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,499.99
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$542.64
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$3,427.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,378.86
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.8
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.93
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.38
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.58
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$31.31
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.09
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$78.28
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$21.59
All 20 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT205%1 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,500
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,599.9
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$861Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$860.58
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.65
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$13,285.71
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Will Zalatoris win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,300
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,666.67
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,333.33
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,722.22
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,702.7
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,278.69
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$377.95
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,703.7
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$655
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$984.38
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.07
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$771Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230.3
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$178.92
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,636.36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,146.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,884.8
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,170.48
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$191.18
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$312.31
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$57.14
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.97
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$410.86
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$583.33
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.99
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$425.68
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.39
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+136.8%+$73.87
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-62.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$87.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.