TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,162,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,176,388

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,162,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 696 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets45c510,612$228,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228,497.661,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Hurricanes56c187,904$105,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,677.715054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Hurricanes55c155,590$85,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,015.58657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes56c129,836$72,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,626.1967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hurricanes55c117,705$64,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,263.1151550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f1…c5f8backed Blue Jackets44c83,498$36,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,739.121450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Hurricanes54c40,037$21,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,417.1248545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Blue Jackets46c38,704$17,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,803.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed Blue Jackets44c32,293$14,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,208.885350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…47cebacked Hurricanes55c28,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,600540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hurricanes55c27,718$15,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,473.051,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hurricanes54c11,150$6,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,12915949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Blue Jackets46c10,941$5,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.6937754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f92…1862backed Hurricanes55c10,813$5,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,866.032123.8%5 W · 16 L-6.6wins-0.31per pick55cpaid-57.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Blue Jackets44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40012950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Blue Jackets45c9,990$4,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,495.3540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Blue Jackets44c9,760$4,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,303.614954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Blue Jackets30c9,489$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.0527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hurricanes54c9,111$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,213.0761748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Blue Jackets46c8,696$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blue Jackets46c8,442$3,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,883.0948549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Hurricanes57c8,348$4,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.013450%17 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Blue Jackets44c7,680$3,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.22356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blue Jackets44c7,560$3,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,334.141,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hurricanes55c7,431$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,344.1159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes69c7,402$5,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.0585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked Blue Jackets45c7,350$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300.352470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Blue Jackets44c7,146$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.246456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hurricanes54c7,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,220.0638849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hurricanes55c6,337$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.7776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hurricanes54c6,000$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,74022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Blue Jackets24c5,837$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.1115057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Hurricanes54c5,555$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.34139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hurricanes55c5,555$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.7575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes55c5,555$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.7589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Blue Jackets44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Blue Jackets46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blue Jackets44c4,790$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.21,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blue Jackets18c4,656$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.0460337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Blue Jackets44c4,337$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.2932251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed Blue Jackets45c4,133$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.91353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.981,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes55c3,873$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.6761950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Blue Jackets44c3,497$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.686835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Blue Jackets46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3808650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Hurricanes54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Blue Jackets37c3,000$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.9611553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Hurricanes55c2,700$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21525552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hurricanes57c2,699$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.633450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes55c2,438$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.31,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jackets36c2,422$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.462,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Blue Jackets45c2,413$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.2936852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Blue Jackets44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes54c2,240$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.341,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…88acbacked Blue Jackets45c2,238$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0072339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes55c2,222$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.986649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blue Jackets45c2,200$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Blue Jackets46c2,176$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.9612355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Hurricanes55c2,170$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.539649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Blue Jackets45c2,160$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9724738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hurricanes80c2,148$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.7189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Blue Jackets45c2,098$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.2626750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Hurricanes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Hurricanes54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9202958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed Hurricanes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Blue Jackets44c1,996$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.111,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Blue Jackets45c1,990$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.5562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Blue Jackets44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79213551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hurricanes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7131550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blue Jackets44c1,770$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.7160249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Blue Jackets46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6904450%22 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hurricanes55c1,435$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.0836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Blue Jackets26c1,404$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.6934040.3%137 W · 203 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Blue Jackets40c1,356$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.1428340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Blue Jackets46c1,282$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.7611151.4%57 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Blue Jackets44c1,236$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.7266552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hurricanes79c1,213$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.31,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Hurricanes58c1,206$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.5213856.5%78 W · 60 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9da0…45b1backed Blue Jackets46c1,185$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Blue Jackets45c1,118$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.122853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…34c3backed Hurricanes55c1,111$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jackets45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9542847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Blue Jackets47c1,100$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.974652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Blue Jackets46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ea…1b1abacked Blue Jackets46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Blue Jackets46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Blue Jackets46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Blue Jackets46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blue Jackets45c1,054$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.121,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Blue Jackets19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004330.2%13 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Hurricanes55c1,044$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.831148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Blue Jackets46c1,013$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8933154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Blue Jackets46c1,004$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.0232155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Hurricanes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45044551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Hurricanes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Hurricanes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Hurricanes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Blue Jackets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hurricanes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Hurricanes55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45032150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.