TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3c7e…a65f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,919
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT80737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 807 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$222
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.6
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.98
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$938.25
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.02
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$489.97
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$509.19
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.3
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$686
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$979.89
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,059.98
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$960
Knicks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$211.97
Raptors vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.07
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.23
Showing 25 of 807 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT60337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 603 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Flyers backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.99
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,171.99
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$765
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$828.34
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$806.5
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$580
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$780
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$839.98
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$1,013.98
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$325
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$909.57
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Senators vs. Islandersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$807.63
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$738
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,039.99
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$959.97
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$699.99
Showing 25 of 603 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT27947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 279 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,982.51
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,977Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$1,909.69
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.22
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.25
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.43
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.25
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.26
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$558.91
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,487Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,486.88
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$297.38
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,920
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+91%+$671.15
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+97%+$982.86
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,038.4
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-1.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$2,001.22
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$183.99
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$646.78
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.79
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,011.08
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,058.49
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,516.62
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.76
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,481.51
Showing 25 of 279 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT11125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.19
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.43
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$613.35
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.38
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.31
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$308
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$714.99
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.7
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$236.38
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,554Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$1,291.65
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.83
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT5860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Silva vs Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,094.99
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jakub Mensikbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$1,687.88
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$868.17
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,825
BNP Paribas Open: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+77.4%+$521.35
BNP Paribas Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+41.7%+$136.61
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Frances Tiafoebacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,303.37
BNP Paribas Open: Nuno Borges vs Emilio Navabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+65.2%+$827.28
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Royer vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$969.99
BNP Paribas Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+77%+$890.21
BNP Paribas Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Merida Open Akron: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$984.89
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,494Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.9%+$506
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Rinderknechbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+36.8%+$370.75
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$19.71
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Leheckabacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+62.5%+$162.35
Set 1 Winner: Vacherot vs Monfilsbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+50.3%+$168.77
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Gael Monfilsbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.4%+$399.99
Mexican Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,606Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+70.2%+$1,829.67
Chile Open: Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+48.5%+$494.63
Set 1 Winner: Svrcina vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.8%+$227.26
Set 1 Winner: Navone vs Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+57.2%+$88.15
Chile Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,223Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+73.4%+$1,632.24
Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75.2%+$256.54
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$6,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$6,393.59
Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,638Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+84.9%+$1,391.52
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,265.59
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$400
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$886.79
Spread: Bills (-1.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$923.08
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$728.57
Patriots vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,846.15
Bills vs. Patriots: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$265.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,405
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Men's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,100
Men's Round of 16 - Germany vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$570
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$766.08
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+244.8%+$1,419.98
Men's Group A - Canada vs. Switzerlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USAbacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$182
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Men's Group A - Switzerland vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Italybacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$155.73
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+106.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$645
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,235
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$139.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 9: Berlanga vs. Butler (Super Middleweight, Main)backed Berlanga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$35.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$871.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.