TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Hornets, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,790,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,892,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,790,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,821 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6d6…be17backed Celtics68c739,058$499,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239,132.6210448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Hornets36c403,718$143,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,812.589745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets37c293,562$107,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,412.362,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Celtics64c286,656$183,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,196.2720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets38c192,062$72,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,191.4936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed Celtics64c172,124$109,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,752.173357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+42%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Hornets43c125,034$53,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,925.819336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Celtics66c96,927$64,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,845.098750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hornets44c93,447$41,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,572.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets37c89,577$33,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,525.881,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Celtics50c79,306$39,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,402.29938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Hornets34c72,005$24,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,481.821951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hornets47c68,067$32,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,282.631,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2145…9498backed Hornets0c67,684$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Celtics65c67,290$43,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,545.6637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd24…7247backed Hornets33c62,410$20,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,595.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets35c57,809$20,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,016.921,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets33c57,675$19,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,302.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f0…1db6backed Celtics62c50,300$31,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,113.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Hornets35c50,000$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,5002437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets28c40,246$11,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,162.163,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c36…7854backed Celtics66c39,184$25,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,322.562263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets26c39,116$10,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,306.331,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets26c39,031$10,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,039.685,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Celtics67c37,626$25,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,416.743732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hornets32c34,999$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.7674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Celtics57c33,981$19,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,482.957243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics64c30,223$19,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,909.591,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hornets4c30,174$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.261,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics66c29,530$19,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,099.51,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Hornets35c28,193$9,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,754.9331644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Hornets35c25,988$9,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,095.916651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Celtics65c25,454$16,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,908.911137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Celtics66c25,177$16,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,560.2220454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Hornets54c25,054$13,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,616.5413642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Celtics69c24,956$17,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,617.0315274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets44c24,870$10,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,860.4948845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hornets12c23,788$2,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,737.841,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics60c23,600$14,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,341.9627251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Hornets34c22,125$7,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,522.521549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Celtics65c19,703$12,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,895.9422458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Celtics50c19,632$9,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,727.711737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets34c19,144$6,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,533.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hornets27c18,032$4,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,868.5548352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Celtics64c17,000$10,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.9614853.4%79 W · 69 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Hornets34c16,633$5,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,593.5389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Hornets6c16,447$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.951417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets43c16,400$7,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,046.21,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c9d…614abacked Celtics63c15,995$10,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,944.111127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Celtics66c15,630$10,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,314.124276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Hornets8c15,418$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.0711033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets34c15,404$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Celtics65c15,062$9,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,271.5420352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets38c14,214$5,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,470.352,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21da…31ebbacked Hornets46c14,067$6,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,520.64269%29 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Celtics63c14,000$8,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,18010158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa75…f082backed Hornets36c13,356$4,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8081729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7960…734dbacked Hornets36c13,356$4,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8083669.4%25 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef24…f43ebacked Celtics68c12,564$8,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets35c12,306$4,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,247.762,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Hornets38c12,285$4,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,668.2711335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Celtics55c12,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.935064%32 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets34c11,911$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,002.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Hornets35c11,816$4,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,153.9221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Hornets42c11,784$4,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,932.285633.9%19 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Celtics64c11,489$7,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,135.945044%22 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Celtics72c11,464$8,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,176.1159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf732…7c06backed Hornets34c11,300$3,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,842425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Celtics59c10,951$6,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,455.711,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets34c10,734$3,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,644.152,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Hornets35c10,730$3,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,755.5926648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Celtics64c10,631$6,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.168763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Celtics65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.9687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Hornets54c9,937$5,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,402.916459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Hornets54c9,909$5,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,350.849244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets39c9,283$3,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,652.248,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Hornets34c9,120$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.82466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+60.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Celtics67c9,000$6,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9702951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics63c9,000$5,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3302,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Celtics65c9,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.948429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Hornets47c8,648$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0746848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets44c8,514$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.885,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Hornets34c7,941$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9438434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Celtics54c7,871$4,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,595.985453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Celtics64c7,628$4,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.972245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Celtics65c7,530$4,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.664671.7%33 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Hornets53c7,496$3,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.7712143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Celtics65c7,456$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,609.726944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Hornets35c7,440$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60424942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hornets32c7,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2402,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Hornets35c7,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450427.1%3 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb886…6729backed Celtics45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.991376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+51.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Hornets41c6,939$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.4736243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Celtics56c6,934$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.688035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a0…3c0ebacked Celtics74c6,833$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.0615853.8%85 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Celtics66c6,800$4,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.0112257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Celtics72c6,603$4,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.5276850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Celtics64c6,500$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3406357.1%36 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Hornets35c6,500$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.9543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Hornets35c6,465$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.787852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.