NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ea87d3f28e1b539db220e11883929ea98961ea993a3913f3cdc74f9ef99ae7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 48c | 114,680$55,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,651.87 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 48c | 104,626$50,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,405.55 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hornets | 52c | 74,708$38,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,848 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets | 52c | 45,689$23,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,758.35 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Hornets | 52c | 42,258$22,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,139.54 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe950…1e0abacked Celtics | 48c | 26,236$12,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,642.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Hornets | 52c | 23,346$12,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,140 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Hornets | 51c | 17,370$8,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,858.63 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hornets | 52c | 13,734$7,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,141.92 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 49c | 11,814$5,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,025.18 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hornets | 51c | 11,006$5,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,613.1 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 51c | 9,465$4,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,626.89 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics | 50c | 9,428$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Hornets | 52c | 8,523$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.11 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 48c | 7,512$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…9c68backed Hornets | 51c | 6,841$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Hornets | 52c | 6,283$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.12 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Celtics | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.97 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hornets | 50c | 5,312$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.11 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Hornets | 51c | 5,178$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.57 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Hornets | 36c | 5,030$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.18 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Hornets | 52c | 4,907$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.75 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Hornets | 51c | 4,900$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.96 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Celtics | 49c | 4,412$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 47c | 4,393$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Hornets | 51c | 4,115$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.49 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Celtics | 48c | 4,000$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Hornets | 52c | 3,973$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.74 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Celtics | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162b…3d49backed Hornets | 50c | 3,938$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.1 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Hornets | 52c | 3,822$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.46 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Celtics | 37c | 2,887$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.63 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,829$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Celtics | 48c | 2,663$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.62 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 29c | 2,405$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Celtics | 75c | 2,334$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.28 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Celtics | 49c | 2,268$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.74 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Celtics | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…b033backed Hornets | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hornets | 15c | 1,907$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.93 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.6 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Celtics | 47c | 1,841$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Hornets | 52c | 1,832$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.88 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Hornets | 53c | 1,832$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.83 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Celtics | 48c | 1,750$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…ce05backed Celtics | 54c | 1,723$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets | 51c | 1,594$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.83 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Celtics | 49c | 1,484$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.73 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Celtics | 28c | 1,206$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.14 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,187$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.38 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Celtics | 42c | 1,166$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.6 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Hornets | 51c | 1,059$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.86 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Hornets | 51c | 1,056$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.57 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b58…8692backed Celtics | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…c44ebacked Celtics | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Hornets | 48c | 975.03$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.77 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Hornets | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Celtics | 49c | 941.83$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.9 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Hornets | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Hornets | 51c | 906.39$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.26 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Hornets | 50c | 855.39$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.81 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…f47cbacked Hornets | 74c | 773.68$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Hornets | 51c | 752.25$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.65 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hornets | 15c | 692.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Hornets | 52c | 587.74$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.63 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics | 48c | 577.13$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.11 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Hornets | 52c | 565.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.14 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…497ebacked Celtics | 50c | 562.6$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.3 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25fc…ef05backed Hornets | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…306abacked Hornets | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Hornets | 51c | 504.75$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.42 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Hornets | 52c | 499.23$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Celtics | 49c | 498.55$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Hornets | 55c | 486.43$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.35 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 50c | 426.55$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Hornets | 51c | 407.65$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Celtics | 48c | 399.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Celtics | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Celtics | 50c | 374.42$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.21 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x818d…1f37backed Hornets | 52c | 373.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Hornets | 9c | 358.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Celtics | 42c | 336.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Celtics | 49c | 312.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Hornets | 51c | 304.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Celtics | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Hornets | 52c | 297.21$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 221 | 48%106 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Hornets | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Celtics | 29c | 294.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.55 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Hornets | 60c | 287.94$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.46 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Hornets | 50c | 265.42$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.71 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Celtics | 49c | 244.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics | 51c | 242.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7084…0ae5backed Celtics | 50c | 223.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…44d0backed Celtics | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3748…a41abacked Celtics | 49c | 209.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)this page
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Coby White: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Hornets vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.