TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda75…bbf9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
935
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT26553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 265 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.66
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 28.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.31
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$26.78
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.98
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.89
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$98.83
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.27
Spread: Clippers (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$99.87
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.43
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.43
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.66
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.43
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.95
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$55.94
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.3
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.22
Spread: Heat (-17.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.07
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.61
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.9
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$205.17
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$220.65
Showing 25 of 265 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT23754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 237 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.25
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.5
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.05
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-3.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$204.45
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloes: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.24
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$148.9
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$607.94
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.18
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$498.1
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.42
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.81
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$511.49
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$505.87
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 155.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$501.64
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$246.93
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.42
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$512.49
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$256.25
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$247.81
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-6.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.83
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.23
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$247.81
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.48
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.12
Showing 25 of 237 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 206 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$49.22
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.55
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$101.91
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.55
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.8
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$100.28
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$49.95
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$100.8
Canadiens vs. Islandersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$63.25
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$63.25
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$101.05
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$101.05
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$135.3
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.36
Blues vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$101.05
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Wild vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.9
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.95
Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.35
Showing 25 of 206 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT11450.9%58 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.83
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.96
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.22
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49.94
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$100.27
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.01
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.75
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.96
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$100.71
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.94
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.66
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.9
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$50.24
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.96
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$100.93
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$50.24
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$264.66
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.25
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.31
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$98.83
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.87
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.87
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST5341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.8%+$187.37
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$176.79
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams Team Total: O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+50.4%+$50.38
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$57.27
1H Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.58
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$650
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$99.81
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+39%+$46.84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will PAOK win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group B - Finland vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$212.31
Women's Group A - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+74.8%+$112.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.