TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$212,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under53c29,773$15,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,762.761,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over50c19,400$9,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,70016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over52c14,103$7,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,786.0732653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c13,198$6,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,565.2649244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Over63c9,474$5,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.7910949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under27c8,985$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.4910239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c7,822$3,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,927.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under54c7,670$4,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.3632351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over55c6,938$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c5,969$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over64c5,933$3,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.682,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under45c5,346$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.714338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over60c4,862$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.679349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c4,662$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.293,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over56c4,528$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.4110256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under44c4,336$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.9786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over46c4,015$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.0730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under48c3,981$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.9414441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over46c3,943$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.2237842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c3,922$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c3,632$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17015644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over47c2,602$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.9128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c2,481$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over68c2,360$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.771,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under53c2,123$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.022,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under47c1,475$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.246237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over53c1,380$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.7958951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over51c1,370$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.36737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c1,268$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.872,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over47c1,259$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.0921247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Over49c1,045$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.254544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5108652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c999.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over70c987.2$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.6618844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Under48c985.6$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.091936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Under47c977$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.195547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Under48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a4b…c943backed Over50c853.6$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c820.78$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under54c817.09$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.2390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Under48c795.22$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.714032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under50c760.67$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.2729849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c734.26$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.131,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under52c732.99$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.1556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over48c691.25$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.3758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over48c688.99$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over63c685.48$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.471,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over48c675.35$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.1871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over54c656.27$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.911,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under29c641.03$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2416242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079d…18ffbacked Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2942025%5 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x91df…e5d7backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over60c593.73$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4933837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Over51c582.36$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3610252%53 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf373…dc57backed Over50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f40…92b2backed Under49c550$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e0…b09dbacked Under40c473.15$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under55c462.39$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6912540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ed…4acdbacked Over49c451.7$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd63…cf21backed Over61c445.76$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.851952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over50c421.38$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.691080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+120.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over67c400.16$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.671,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf0…fd08backed Over51c392.15$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5001…e597backed Over48c390.96$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Under51c388.24$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under54c374.56$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacce…f4e8backed Under53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under9c357.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under12c343.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0627937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x08eb…9ca4backed Under15c336.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Under53c328.43$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9533251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under47c317$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9919745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c301.02$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.281,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over63c296.65$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.762,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa655…b10cbacked Under53c294.36$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.511464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over53c291.54$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.024358.1%25 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Over50c290.18$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.665843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over46c278.75$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4520240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c275.56$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.133,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over47c275.03$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over54c247.59$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.2716053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over47c242.25$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5345251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under53c233.23$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6126553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Over50c232.1$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.87057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed Under11c229.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.952626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Under14c225.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.924044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c6…abd9backed Over50c223.1$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under52c222$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4426745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec8…be92backed Under51c218.39$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Over64c217.86$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.896450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under48c212.75$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1234953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c206.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.61,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over49c206.58$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1814640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.