NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b70f3812757a5eb0544da4567e42a3bd62236ad193fcf418c5df6f03f3101bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Clippers | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.99 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Thunder | 54c | 29,172$15,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,419.12 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Thunder | 49c | 24,347$11,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,378.52 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Clippers | 46c | 21,422$9,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,854.12 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Thunder | 53c | 17,745$9,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,340.18 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 54c | 15,866$8,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,298.54 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 46c | 12,883$5,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,955.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Clippers | 51c | 10,005$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.6 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 52c | 8,472$4,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.45 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 48c | 6,565$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Clippers | 47c | 5,710$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.69 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 54c | 5,549$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Thunder | 53c | 5,501$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.52 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Clippers | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d1…37e2backed Clippers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 55c | 3,586$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.79 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Clippers | 47c | 3,150$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.43 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Clippers | 47c | 3,069$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.62 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 54c | 2,647$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.56 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Thunder | 53c | 2,244$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.74 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Thunder | 79c | 2,125$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Thunder | 53c | 2,031$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.48 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.95 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 49c | 1,769$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clippers | 46c | 1,697$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.44 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Clippers | 53c | 1,672$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.05 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Clippers | 46c | 1,473$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.79 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Clippers | 48c | 1,456$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.78 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers | 48c | 1,456$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.78 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers | 48c | 1,456$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.78 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Clippers | 46c | 1,445$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.74 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Clippers | 49c | 1,276$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.79 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Clippers | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Thunder | 55c | 1,020$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.6 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Thunder | 53c | 1,008$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.98 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Clippers | 48c | 1,002$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.04 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Clippers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Clippers | 47c | 999.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 20c | 952.85$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 54c | 944.57$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.5 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Clippers | 47c | 808.28$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.89 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Thunder | 55c | 755.58$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.09 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Clippers | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Clippers | 48c | 746.2$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.29 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Thunder | 54c | 740.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.68 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Clippers | 47c | 514.75$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Clippers | 53c | 507.83$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Clippers | 47c | 485.75$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.3 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers | 21c | 476.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Thunder | 47c | 449.85$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.42 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 53c | 442$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.74 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Thunder | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Thunder | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Thunder | 48c | 374.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.92 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Clippers | 49c | 360.45$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.14 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Thunder | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…d17abacked Thunder | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…f7e2backed Thunder | 48c | 342.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Clippers | 47c | 305.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Clippers | 52c | 299.83$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Clippers | 49c | 298.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Thunder | 53c | 297.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.61 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Clippers | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Thunder | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Clippers | 47c | 283.46$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Thunder | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers | 21c | 267.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Clippers | 52c | 263.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 55c | 260.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers | 47c | 227.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Thunder | 53c | 205.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Thunder | 56c | 205.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Clippers | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Clippers | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Clippers | 48c | 194.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Clippers | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Clippers | 46c | 191.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Clippers | 54c | 190.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Clippers | 47c | 183.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed Thunder | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Thunder | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Clippers | 21c | 181.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Thunder | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 45c | 154.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Thunder | 54c | 148.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Clippers | 53c | 146.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Clippers | 51c | 145.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…9b76backed Clippers | 48c | 144.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Thunder | 55c | 143.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Thunder | 65c | 143.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed Thunder | 55c | 141.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Clippers | 48c | 139.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Clippers | 46c | 135.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Clippers | 53c | 134.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…f503backed Thunder | 55c | 128.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Clippers | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Clippers | 46c | 120.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Clippers | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Clippers | 47c | 115.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Clippers | 47c | 113.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. ClippersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.