TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x091a…db09

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 65 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$101.13
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$97.27
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.98
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.5
Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$44.72
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Spread: Magic (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.31
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$34.39
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$34.28
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$13.33
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$25.42
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.14
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Group Abacked Arcade Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group Abacked FarmVille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$20.72
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.19
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.96
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Jesper de Jongbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
BMW Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
BMW Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Marko Topobacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Mexico City: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Darwin Blanchbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$5.67
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.87
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Madrid: Toby Samuel vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Oceane Dodin vs Kathinka von Deichmannbacked Oceane Dodin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$24.75
BMW Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.89
Set 1 Winner: Vekic vs Pliskovabacked Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.3
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Lina Gjorcheskabacked Lisa Pigato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$14.63
Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs Taggerbacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanovabacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14.89
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Toby Samuelbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-78.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.97
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+136%+$28.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.93
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$34.3
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.31
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$127.83
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$46.02
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$59.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$20.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
FC Porto leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs Ramboot Club (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsbacked KPI Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.