TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c40,885$27,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,967.791,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over21c14,888$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,198.733531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under73c11,955$8,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.421,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc138…c75dbacked Over1c9,159$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.541118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over40c7,154$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.996728.4%19 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c6,709$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.3246741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over9c5,600$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c5,307$2,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c4,836$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.5559741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over73c2,762$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.569757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7a…c1d0backed Over10c2,141$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.42825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over74c2,011$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.244365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8a…9fb8backed Over74c1,995$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over42c1,877$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.564445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e9…2732backed Over53c1,833$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x524a…7eefbacked Over3c1,811$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-64.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over17c1,634$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.388853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over74c1,514$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.52580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b4…169bbacked Over66c1,480$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Over33c1,457$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Over1c1,436$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over20c1,417$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5213234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over1c1,322$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.482055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over75c1,313$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9851361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x458c…ee3ebacked Over75c1,313$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9851163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x658c…029cbacked Over76c1,297$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Over1c1,284$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a74…312fbacked Under27c1,172$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.12540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over38c1,155$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8915…3b33backed Over8c1,151$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.83922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-64.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28af…3875backed Over1c1,100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+497.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3937…b39dbacked Over10c1,092$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.07825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under68c1,087$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.755362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under25c1,027$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.6219755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.998650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Over32c973.48$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.852626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over16c947.45$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1220639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over1c905$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3110648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…0979backed Over11c884.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.84825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x431f…be71backed Over4c854.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9960%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207941.8%33 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under72c779.99$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa83d…b699backed Over8c749.38$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3850%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over2c741.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over41c705.8$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.383764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c698.03$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7142438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over74c678.37$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.992650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under73c672.73$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.643961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over75c656.92$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.495655.4%31 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over75c656.67$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over2c654.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.855550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…780dbacked Over78c632.56$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.43548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec15…665fbacked Over20c614.83$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.811631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-41.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over28c550$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb4…7a9cbacked Over11c539.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.57922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-64.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Over6c534.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over40c509.52$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33fa…681bbacked Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+93.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under26c499.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3705048%24 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over72c491.89$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over67c484.54$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbebe…92bfbacked Over8c472.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40a…e88cbacked Over8c464.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under66c443.28$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4724340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e6…1e51backed Over8c428.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5413…928abacked Over7c421.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b4…8903backed Over8c421.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Over74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under28c399$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.957538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c396.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5143252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over18c393.84$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.72846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under22c374.57$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.0340350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over74c371.96$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.255151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over49c369.95$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.483560%21 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under71c350.73$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.914465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3386…be96backed Over14c350.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6360%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under53c339.37$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.899262%57 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under29c332.26$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.55653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Under60c328.36$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.341687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over41c324.67$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.111136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over68c324.45$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.991478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick73cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over29c319.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.14052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over74c315.82$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.784252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over15c314.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1921217%36 W · 176 L-37.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x0a87…7684backed Over10c307.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5140%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under44c302.1$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1715936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592850%14 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under26c294.03$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.583063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over67c292.6$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.042857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.51225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under27c289.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.383663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over41c284.35$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.584533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over72c279.2$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.031752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under25c251.3$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0231847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over11c249.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over58c249.07$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2710760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over30c242.37$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.712842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.