TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc35b…6eb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.88
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.78
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,170
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.52
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,498
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.5
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$122.67
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$280.8
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$202.16
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.6
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.04
France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$87.62
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.04
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$121.8
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$157.5
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.62
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.6
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.9
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.6
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.04
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.59
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.82
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.5
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$980.2
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.03
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$513.38
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.12
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$480
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$149.5
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$149.35
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$347.46
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$352
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Ferencvárosi TC vs. Górnik Zabrze: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.13
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.56
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.68
FC Universitatea Cluj vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.19
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.75
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$82.49
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.44
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$99.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.