TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c13,869$7,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,050.412,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c8,173$4,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,953.091,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over13c4,481$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.14520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over67c2,985$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c2,202$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.6132650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c2,177$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.1541144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over72c1,988$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.311861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c1,888$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.5398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6445…a189backed Over64c1,641$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over55c1,576$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.623441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24f…0c5abacked Over45c1,525$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over40c1,521$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b3…8d3dbacked Over57c1,500$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.962520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.998033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55018923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6701050%5 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over45c951.5$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.183348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over36c830$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29913636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over27c736.11$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6913826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f2…d2e3backed Over72c625$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70c4…cd4abacked Over60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c599.31$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Over18c500.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.033324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over70c499.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.992969%20 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c497.96$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over28c483.4$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1333847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over62c480$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over35c429.97$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over38c415.95$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1573333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Over26c389.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c373.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under47c344.95$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.64156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under28c316.41$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7121548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over25c299.19$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.672429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203625%9 W · 27 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under28c278.17$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20039354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc35b…6eb2backed Over72c277$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Over27c265.86$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c259.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6434553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Over65c235.38$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over71c205$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5519652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over66c180$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.814351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over24c171.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under28c149.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10832854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under29c149.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2417955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over71c138.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over64c137.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8818055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over37c135.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+93%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over72c131.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over72c125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under28c123.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4365254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…b24abacked Under43c116.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.718100%8 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Over14c113.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.351435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503119.4%6 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-56.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Over71c105.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751855.6%10 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick72cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under29c105.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Over71c105.28$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over72c104.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under37c102.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.72065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6314748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Over72c99.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over49c96.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7821748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.311547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.951752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over26c75.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355552.7%29 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over72c62.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.783161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x913f…d2ebbacked Over21c57.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Over72c55.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under75c52.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over64c51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.641758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.514845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e73…27a3backed Over72c49.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.351450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdde0…3b13backed Over72c47.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over41c47.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.317065.7%46 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over55c45.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.642755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over45c44.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.853740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under40c43.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.913653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over45c42.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under39c41.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.114158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.