TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x57dc…01ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.89
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$6.45
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Manchester United FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$37.86
Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$20.16
Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Preston North End FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Derby County FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.22
Preston North End FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57.61
Coventry City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.41
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$30.87
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.91
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.49
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.23
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$43.55
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Wrexham AFC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$14.17
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$38.35
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.47
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.52
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$74.4
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$30.47
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$62.19
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.08
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$29.21
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.86
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$27.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypsonbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$24.01
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$31.83
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrej Martinbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.56
Jack Draper vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.21
Arthur Fils vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Novak Djokovic vs. Jack Draper: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$97.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-3.7wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-66%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick68cpaid-61%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.