TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,306 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under56c39,934$22,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,644.372161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under55c9,571$5,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,263.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over43c7,053$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.6740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over46c5,782$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.621225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab0d…8ef3backed Over45c5,410$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under53c4,476$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.843145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c4,363$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.073,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over44c4,086$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.5333349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over44c4,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7403151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3808124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under54c2,027$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under77c1,352$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.52,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over23c1,295$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.732920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over44c1,280$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over10c1,250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Over48c1,199$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over45c1,114$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over43c999.98$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.993740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under55c999.95$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.988946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under60c989.35$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.742161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Under57c831.58$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.58560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under56c805.01$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.012846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under57c722.87$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.875545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over45c720.67$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.951233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.31120%0 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over15c674.66$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.836323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2585856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Over45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over44c509.17$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9121835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x394c…158cbacked Under79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over43c466.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under55c416.43$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8638247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under52c407.69$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.692152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2791…2346backed Over12c333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over43c311.27$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.853154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1326331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14721243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over42c288$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.792425%6 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over42c275.09$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.54933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over45c260.58$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1175464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under53c259.47$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.472835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under61c228.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Under57c228.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1f…01abbacked Over16c215.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81c…0a81backed Over45c211.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.24136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over12c208.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.335540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Over38c199.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over44c194$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3618049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c189.48$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6513040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over44c186.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.666056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under78c186.38$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8314963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Over44c175.4$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over46c167.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5a…16d5backed Over45c167$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under56c161$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7111449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over45c144.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over8c143.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.581118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Under57c135.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+32.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25a6…e6c0backed Over45c129$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over47c128.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.727143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Under55c108.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.024841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468747.1%41 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+68.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Over44c94.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.932045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Under54c93.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over45c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under56c89.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.459338.7%36 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under56c89.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.313354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Under55c88.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.541681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+32.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccf7…e940backed Under55c82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under57c81.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.323036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5654…3fa2backed Over14c78.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over45c74.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.44663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over20c73.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6733522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under55c73.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.051,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c72.46$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3388048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed Over28c72.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under54c70.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.61650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b5f…5e78backed Over44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.531,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x095e…abc5backed Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.