TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5555…823b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT5064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+142.1%+$210.32
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$88.8
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.5
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.55
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.17
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$270.95
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$98.78
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$53.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.4
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$135.66
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.43
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$328.03
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+900%+$450
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$366.67
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$366.67
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$80.67
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$108.49
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Championbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+185.9%+$143.14
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$666
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$45.4
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$58.09
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$45.5
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$28.91
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.94
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$28.48
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$86.04
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$328.26
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,437
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$210.32
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.9
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed Torino FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$38.28
Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$46.74
ACF Fiorentina vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$38.12
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57.83
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.59
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.76
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$73.98
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.94
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. New England Revolution: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.37
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$100.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$301.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$31.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$277
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.