Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c1e350aa870dde083412c0f2a98b1b8acea2b956d7740c9a4f70c6843e2a662

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,233,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $992,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,233,538 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9449…d829backed Yes	0c	310,650$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.6	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4a…24bebacked Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c7…1b21backed Yes	0c	79,691$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf509…f1a7backed Yes	0c	46,814$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.7	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	36,000$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd497…c62fbacked Yes	7c	21,342$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.83	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	17,265$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.76	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	2c	14,974$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.18	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc5…84c1backed Yes	0c	13,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	21cpaid	+282.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes	8c	12,692$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.22	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes	5c	10,580$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.39	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7514…82d1backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	9,684$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.75	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4382…7011backed Yes	0c	8,729$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.87	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	4cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9690…9403backed Yes	0c	7,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	8c	5,683$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.82	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x846a…63f7backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	4,541$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.08	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	4c	4,535$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.88	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes	5c	4,025$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.47	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	1c	3,781$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.71	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	7c	3,433$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.66	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes	8c	3,003$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.34	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a14…045cbacked Yes	5c	3,000$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.45	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes	5c	3,000$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Yes	5c	2,972$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.67	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes	8c	2,960$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.17	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb229…8e56backed Yes	8c	2,723$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.92	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed Yes	0c	2,546$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes	6c	2,535$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.97	159	30.2%48 W · 111 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	9c	2,192$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.81	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	6c	2,162$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.54	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	8c	1,488$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.02	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45f5…6fffbacked Yes	6c	1,433$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51c6…40a3backed Yes	7c	1,373$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Yes	8c	1,316$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9451…63d0backed Yes	8c	1,313$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.24	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x595f…9d4dbacked Yes	8c	1,233$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes	8c	1,226$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	5c	1,223$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.37	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	7c	1,206$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.35	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	8c	1,147$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.73	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x049a…b22abacked Yes	5c	1,123$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.38	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	8c	1,059$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.01	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a66…b8d3backed Yes	8c	1,020$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.25	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3029…73acbacked Yes	8c	1,000$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes	8c	1,000$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	5c	1,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes	5c	999.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5910…b0d6backed Yes	10c	997.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	3c	940$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.04	54	13%7 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e04…143dbacked Yes	11c	937.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes	10c	925$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.25	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes	9c	907.78$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.27	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161f…d7acbacked Yes	11c	895.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	7c	870.92$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.77	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes	5c	800.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	50	4%2 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes	7c	794.98$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.98	315	53%167 W · 148 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2317backed Yes	9c	756.14$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.48	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Yes	8c	731.13$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.89	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes	5c	725.7$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.59	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0137…b186backed Yes	7c	718.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2572…a8a7backed Yes	7c	702.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes	8c	699.99$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+3.6wins	+0.21per pick	32cpaid	+202.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x75e5…c88ebacked Yes	14c	694.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	33cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b9…e354backed Yes	5c	633.65$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.22	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	7c	630.55$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.35	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	6c	602.53$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	8c	564.92$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.38	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	7c	559.38$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.66	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb84…8bbdbacked Yes	13c	507.6$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.25	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de4…012fbacked Yes	8c	501.11$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Yes	8c	499.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes	9c	499.01$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.17	242	33.5%81 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes	11c	439.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Yes	6c	432.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	4c	420.73$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	5c	412.03$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	56	3.6%2 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes	8c	400$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66f4…9c4cbacked Yes	9c	398.07$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	92	31.5%29 W · 63 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1960…b36ebacked Yes	13c	397.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+23%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	8c	361.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.33	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	7c	360$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd49…61c6backed Yes	14c	356.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	40%24 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b69…0f21backed Yes	5c	349.66$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf86f…1660backed Yes	6c	334.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4600…78aabacked Yes	8c	301.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d21…59f7backed Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes	7c	297$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd194…c51fbacked Yes	7c	290.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	150	37.3%56 W · 94 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2148…5c59backed Yes	7c	287.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes	6c	284.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+334.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	4c	276.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa0…17c7backed Yes	7c	274.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb988…2655backed Yes	7c	267.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a8d…f736backed Yes	8c	263.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	59cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9510…4db5backed Yes	6c	263.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	4c	257$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b5…1542backed Yes	14c	241.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event