TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x21ff…5e2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
365
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT7635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+428.8%+$290.3
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Adam Waltonbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$77.11
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$263.63
Oeiras 3: Maja Chwalinska vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.25
Busan: August Holmgren vs Liam Broadybacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.62
Wuning 2: Jie Cui vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Jie Cui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.98
BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topobacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$313.56
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.76
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.01
Sarasota: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$59.02
Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.69
Campinas: Guido Justo vs Gustavo Heidebacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.69
Campinas: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Lina Gjorcheskabacked Lina Gjorcheska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.02
Madrid: Elina Avanesyan vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Ane Mintegi Del Olmo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.55
Monza: Dino Prizmic vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.97
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Rusebacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.51
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
Madrid: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.83
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.26
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+201.7%+$549.37
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5413%7 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-59.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+619.7%+$268.24
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$31.5
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.04
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.67
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.55
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+251.5%+$342.02
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.05
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+266.5%+$43.63
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.85
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.48
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.13
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.53
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.1
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,861.99
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$707.78
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.71
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.58
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.75
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.03
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.66
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+64%+$640.81
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.34
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.74
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.35
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.4
Jerami Grant: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$41.3
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.2
Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$902.87
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$435
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Jazz vs. Timberwolvesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.77
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.3
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$663.84
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$5,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$5,353.33
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+261.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.71
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.47
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+345%+$251.18
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+188.3%+$4,200.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.21
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.71
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$566.46
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.81
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$164.69
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95.04
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.84
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.05
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$91.6
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$781.15
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50.9
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-78.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$28.39
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$6.21
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.26
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.98
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.9
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.31
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.94
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.07
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56.7%+$54.3
Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
Will DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.74
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$46.62
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$153.16
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$47.93
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$38.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.61
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Solana reach $150 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.31
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.11
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$187.99
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12,432Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.5%+$3,916.09
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$619.37
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.32
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$184.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+514.7%+$1,451.93
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$470.4
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$82.19
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+63.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.73
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$63.16
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+348.3%+$79.56
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.63
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+442.7%+$4,986.22
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$26.1
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$273.47
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.43
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$94.5
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$541.12
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,576
Will GIANTX win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+192.4%+$171.74
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$102.44
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$43.22
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$75.9
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$44.99
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$205.48
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13,052.24
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14,334Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$16,826.7
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,224.56
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$78.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+58%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,914.29
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.21
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$253.6
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$209
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Admiral Vladivostokbacked Admiral Vladivostok · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$54.08
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Lightning vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.62
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.51
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. CSKA Moscowbacked Sibir Novosibirsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$105.66
Flyers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+122.2%+$64.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple dip to $216 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Will Amazon reach $232 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.56
Will NVIDIA reach $184 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.64
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Will Amazon dip to $192 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will Meta (META) close above $780 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.92
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$144.59
Will Meta (META) close above $620 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$152.76
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $220 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24.08
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+316.7%+$227.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+302.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.96
Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40.24
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
Will MUTT (Leon Thomas) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.7
Will The Subway (Chappell Roan) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.49
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.05
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+3,118.5%+$1,995.03
Will KATSEYE win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick6cpaid-55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-77.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-68.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.86
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,557Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$4,011.27
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12,158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3,039.48
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$370
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,818.32
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$344.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$477.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+110.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+110.6%+$108.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$852.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$297.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$183.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$187.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$260
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,733Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$460.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.