Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d468d37514b441f2bba7d50c3d835379ebb385826dec261783240c9f27e27bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 63c | 38,059$23,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,106.57 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 11,724$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.76 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 37c | 9,029$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.16 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 62c | 8,617$5,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 17c | 5,580$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.23 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 38c | 4,909$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.29 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 40c | 3,666$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 42c | 3,058$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.03 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 2,785$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.79 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 64c | 2,710$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.6 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 2,278$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.89 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 28c | 2,087$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.83 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed No | 11c | 1,786$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 48c | 1,531$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.05 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Yes | 57c | 1,449$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 1,223$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.73 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 37c | 1,190$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.34 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 45c | 1,100$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 37c | 1,092$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.41 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 38c | 911.85$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.39 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 46c | 884$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 19c | 871.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 829.8$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 37c | 766.52$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.46 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 53c | 749.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.25 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 742.66$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.85 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 37c | 668.47$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.32 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 45c | 659$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.55 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 37c | 645.04$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 37c | 644.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.67 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 22c | 636.13$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Yes | 47c | 626.66$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 21c | 618.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 569.13$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.21 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 61c | 481.43$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.16 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 37c | 478$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.95 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Yes | 52c | 468.49$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.36 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 43c | 464.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.83 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 69c | 358$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 63c | 338.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 38c | 336.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 45c | 306.15$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 293.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 19c | 274.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 40c | 273.92$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 25c | 257.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 40c | 249.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 39c | 246.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 236.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 224.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 16c | 222.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 72c | 214$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…866fbacked No | 49c | 213.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…15e2backed No | 49c | 209.23$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…c5e0backed No | 49c | 208.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…40eabacked No | 49c | 208.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e9…9107backed No | 49c | 208.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…5893backed No | 49c | 208.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8602…fd48backed No | 49c | 207.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…1100backed No | 49c | 205.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…e3e1backed No | 49c | 205.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…6782backed No | 49c | 204.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…6a96backed No | 49c | 202.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…0142backed No | 49c | 202.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…2dfebacked No | 49c | 201.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff0…053cbacked No | 49c | 201.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee2…9375backed No | 49c | 200.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…f70ebacked No | 49c | 200.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…a24cbacked No | 49c | 200.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…24fbbacked No | 49c | 200.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 47c | 199.96$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…3e01backed No | 49c | 199.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…eb09backed No | 49c | 198.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…9d17backed No | 49c | 198.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…1c30backed No | 49c | 198.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…6558backed No | 50c | 197.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…74bfbacked No | 49c | 197.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…d3a0backed No | 49c | 197.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…d4c8backed No | 49c | 197.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…7082backed No | 49c | 197.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…ccecbacked No | 50c | 197.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…51e3backed No | 49c | 197.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…a200backed No | 49c | 196.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…3ea0backed No | 50c | 196.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…ccb4backed No | 50c | 196.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…504fbacked No | 49c | 196.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…69cbbacked No | 49c | 196.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…4c4abacked No | 49c | 196.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…110ebacked No | 49c | 196.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…9becbacked No | 49c | 196.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…3ab8backed No | 49c | 195.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba1…1b12backed No | 50c | 195.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa908…d716backed No | 49c | 195.68$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?No won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.