TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc4b2…9a9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
348
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Serie A, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT7371.2%52 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.73
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$192.47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$169.46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$192.33
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$84.01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.96
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$206.77
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$27.57
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.9
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$39.64
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$95.05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.72
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.91
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$86.05
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$93.2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$108.42
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.92
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$29.3
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$85.54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$285.21
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$85.15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$250.49
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5733.3%19 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$241.29
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$237.31
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.79
Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.67
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$201.84
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$224.41
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$243.63
Will Dai Dai be the first song performed by Shakira at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.95
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.51
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.1
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.73
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$232.34
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$357.41
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.41
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$586.63
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.39
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.27
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,713.08
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.5
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.11
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.07
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.58
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.59
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT5259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.51
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.48
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$47.35
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32%+$6.31
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.66
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,641.25
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.7
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,238.29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+190.6%+$2,028.69
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$909.32
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,562Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$1,459.14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,693Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$658.51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,452Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$1,344.95
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$47.08
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$5,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,055.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$1,424.14
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+33%+$370.85
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,292Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$726.69
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,107.34
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.73
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$353.1
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+234.1%+$49.03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$252.33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.84
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$45.44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+144%+$39.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$78.72
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$57.92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.71
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$501.94
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$844.49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.63
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$212.6
Will Solana dip to $70 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$259.83
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$105.87
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,819Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$736.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$612.82
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$54.39
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$12.93
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45%+$23.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,781Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44%+$1,664.75
Will Solana dip to $80 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.44
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$76.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$195.2
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,394.38
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+247.2%+$297.35
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,988.69
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,902.49
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$585.27
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+213.2%+$271.93
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,789Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$1,039.12
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+243.7%+$1,187.14
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,895Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$1,015.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.41
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.28
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.46
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$18.62
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.73
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+266.7%+$183.07
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$596Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$595.77
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$47.75
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,761Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$867.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$224.95
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+194.2%+$3,380.06
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650.22
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.69
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.84
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$2,603.38
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$795.21
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$735.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+121%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$4.25
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$260.6
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+987%+$229.27
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,389.51
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,094Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$1,118.26
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,355.23
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$1,447.23
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+194.2%+$2,583.52
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+128.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+181.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+176.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.41
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$302.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.42
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,991Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$2,038.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+168.6%+$270
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aurora Gaming win DreamLeague Season 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$156.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lincoln: Completed Match: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bubacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,451.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.