World Politics · resolved market
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde38c515193b3b7f826f65e85fb50fc77d4fb134e56f3c36e9244ee812d75089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,028,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,070,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,028,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 661 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa527…4228backed Yes | 44c | 48,000$21,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,818.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 40cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…8d18backed No | 58c | 42,587$24,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,677.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed No | 54c | 36,258$19,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,737.56 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 49c | 35,525$17,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,212.52 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes | 55c | 32,397$17,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,544.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed No | 52c | 27,767$14,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,491.76 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf0…61b0backed No | 58c | 25,125$14,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,677.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc58…5fd0backed Yes | 48c | 21,090$10,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,984.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…2cb8backed Yes | 53c | 16,952$9,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,904.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 54c | 16,467$8,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,932.37 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 15,450$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 58c | 14,564$8,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,497.68 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81b…5e32backed No | 64c | 13,914$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 54c | 13,817$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396.71 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 13,571$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 48c | 13,261$6,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,332.02 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 40c | 11,809$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,085.68 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…3aa0backed Yes | 38c | 10,576$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,587.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Yes | 46c | 8,705$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed No | 2c | 8,400$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 52c | 8,163$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.35 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 47c | 8,152$3,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.36 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 53c | 8,066$4,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.88 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 61c | 8,000$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,861.63 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 38c | 7,836$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,876.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…6907backed Yes | 44c | 7,694$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…bf30backed No | 5c | 7,657$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…972abacked No | 67c | 7,553$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 41c | 7,398$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.53 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fd6dbacked Yes | 63c | 7,063$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…f0fdbacked No | 0c | 6,598$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…405cbacked Yes | 47c | 6,313$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…ea89backed No | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 1c | 5,882$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 22cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 50c | 5,880$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.97 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…ab64backed No | 62c | 5,676$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed No | 56c | 5,500$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.99 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 2c | 5,307$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0146backed Yes | 44c | 5,198$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Yes | 31c | 5,098$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.58 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 60c | 5,000$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.27 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 58c | 4,839$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.02 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…ea7abacked Yes | 41c | 4,820$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…9b17backed Yes | 43c | 4,642$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 46c | 4,500$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.91 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 2c | 4,444$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…25b5backed Yes | 40c | 4,146$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked Yes | 42c | 4,000$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edd…728cbacked Yes | 43c | 3,871$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…d83dbacked Yes | 48c | 3,550$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…65d2backed No | 1c | 3,271$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…a65dbacked No | 1c | 3,216$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 2c | 3,160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 3,076$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.45 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Yes | 56c | 3,055$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…38aebacked Yes | 37c | 3,044$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked No | 5c | 3,044$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e0…bebcbacked Yes | 49c | 3,037$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…4666backed No | 1c | 2,858$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…238bbacked No | 1c | 2,817$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fd…1b90backed Yes | 43c | 2,804$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 44c | 2,790$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54cc…4d58backed No | 1c | 2,592$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…0e0cbacked No | 3c | 2,550$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…39f0backed Yes | 40c | 2,523$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…03ecbacked Yes | 68c | 2,517$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 52c | 2,433$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.24 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed No | 53c | 2,407$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.6 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e1…df5cbacked Yes | 49c | 2,407$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d07…e1d0backed No | 1c | 2,352$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60be…f164backed Yes | 42c | 2,312$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.52 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +130.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 45c | 2,302$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…1e08backed No | 1c | 2,291$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…01c1backed No | 1c | 2,286$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 43c | 2,268$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…579fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,259$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…6db2backed Yes | 40c | 2,238$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…0b59backed Yes | 35c | 2,225$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.98 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbe…e244backed No | 1c | 2,223$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…82e4backed No | 1c | 2,220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…c317backed No | 1c | 2,189$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…3295backed Yes | 33c | 2,156$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +169%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…4940backed Yes | 44c | 2,154$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…4c5ebacked No | 32c | 2,100$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…7781backed No | 1c | 2,087$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…1bc3backed No | 1c | 2,039$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…2a37backed Yes | 43c | 2,028$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.21 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…8d94backed No | 1c | 2,015$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc188…6549backed No | 1c | 2,010$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…5f43backed Yes | 73c | 2,008$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa942…eb92backed No | 1c | 2,006$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…6ba5backed No | 1c | 2,002$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…5bcbbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…a16abacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…1d60backed Yes | 51c | 1,979$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.75 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaee…2ed9backed No | 1c | 1,962$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…9c7ebacked No | 1c | 1,960$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…c665backed No | 1c | 1,959$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…1098backed No | 1c | 1,905$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?this page
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.