TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6640…2202

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Movies at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT8456%47 W · 37 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,068Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$1,432.64
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79,857Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$39,554.31
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14,184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+34%+$4,817.02
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,577.18
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,917.35
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.75
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$419.99
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42%+$3,872.15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+187.7%+$9,969.06
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$555.52
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$519
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12,463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$4,131.99
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,618Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$2,366.62
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,105
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,271.89
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,719Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+213.8%+$3,674.25
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,466Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$584.87
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,506Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$458.37
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56%+$4,501.03
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,054Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+49%+$1,496.93
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$1,006
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15,075Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$9,508.76
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.04
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,162.47
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$11,796.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$3,625.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16,073Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$6,380.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,346.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,284.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,010.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14,393Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$14,090.19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$824.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,663Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$6,790.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,540
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,530
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,617.77
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,730Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$2,689.91
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,925Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$3,886.65
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,172.19
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$1,630.62
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$638.72
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,821Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$715.61
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,444.99
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23,426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6,488.59
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,793Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48%+$4,223.56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,017.37
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,230.59
Will Darline Graham Nordone place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.91
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$392.03
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$307.94
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.06
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,147.74
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$714.01
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$585
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,603Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$1,014.21
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,386Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+241%+$5,751.08
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$180
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.3%+$1,440
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$330
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$750
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.1%+$301.13
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$426.49
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,156.93
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+150%+$600
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-61.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$793.98
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12,355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.7%+$5,272.17
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$608
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$43.99
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$836.61
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,016.96
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,507Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+173.9%+$6,101.09
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$4,008.55
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$435.56
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,008.49
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$786.81
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,552.09
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$659.89
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,310.23
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $48-52m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,521Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+31.5%+$1,738.46
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.41
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,150.67
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $72m and 77m on opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,876.67
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$320
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17,950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.7%+$6,049.97
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.6%+$2,721.06
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$311.77
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,206Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40%+$1,281.14
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,997Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$2,260.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$344.99
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$350
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$944.47
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+30.4%+$1,128.51
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$473.39
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$630
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$370
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+59.9%+$148.1
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,317Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+131.1%+$1,726.84
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$493.52
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+35.9%+$312.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+60.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+43.1%+$301
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,954.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$754.04
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,764Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,300.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.