Us Politics · resolved market
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61f98765d7abe75419d6d3f97f4ced34f45fc67178ff254b20ceb5c156310fe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf039…cb4abacked No | 1c | 100,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…bf33backed No | 32c | 25,746$8,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,144.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…772abacked No | 1c | 7,752$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked No | 5c | 5,726$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 71c | 5,190$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.11 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 75c | 5,018$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.17 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 75c | 4,679$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.43 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 80c | 4,632$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.56 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…b4bbbacked No | 44c | 4,608$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 73c | 4,474$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.91 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 72c | 4,409$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.2 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 10c | 4,304$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.95 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 76c | 4,000$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed No | 14c | 4,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 22c | 3,791$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.09 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…4eb7backed No | 50c | 3,256$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +88%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7b…eb1dbacked No | 32c | 3,126$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 68c | 2,928$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.09 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…b4b6backed No | 1c | 2,747$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…2497backed No | 43c | 2,424$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…8e63backed No | 8c | 2,341$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…f4ddbacked No | 44c | 2,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 70c | 2,204$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.87 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 7c | 2,188$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 11c | 2,120$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 28c | 2,103$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.81 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 77c | 1,779$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.08 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 62c | 1,749$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.62 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,712$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…6450backed No | 18c | 1,676$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 36c | 1,670$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.34 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 77c | 1,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 72c | 1,405$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.03 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 23c | 1,315$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.42 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed Yes | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 23c | 1,282$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.49 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 72c | 1,195$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.49 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 14c | 1,179$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…fa8cbacked No | 18c | 1,046$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924a…8af5backed No | 45c | 1,040$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 72c | 999.98$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 23c | 964.75$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…5996backed No | 43c | 927.11$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…cac2backed No | 28c | 918.01$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6d…8371backed No | 48c | 900$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…d7d4backed No | 19c | 894.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 19c | 883.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.21 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…27cbbacked No | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 38c | 779.01$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95a0…523bbacked No | 13c | 753.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 78c | 752.33$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 60c | 714.56$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.82 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 60c | 705.29$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.33 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed No | 5c | 701.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 69c | 700$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed No | 43c | 698$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 56c | 690$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 65c | 661.31$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 67c | 605.42$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.26 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 34c | 586.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.73 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 74c | 583.8$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 74c | 521$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…35f4backed Yes | 66c | 495.29$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800c…4305backed No | 4c | 476.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked Yes | 71c | 449.61$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990c…5ccfbacked No | 12c | 443.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 69c | 432.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 67c | 415.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…dd84backed Yes | 65c | 395.18$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 37c | 382.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.09 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed Yes | 73c | 374.94$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 73c | 365.07$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.38 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a8…5888backed No | 33c | 363.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3bdbbacked No | 4c | 357.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…620ebacked No | 6c | 353.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 61c | 353.44$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a3…7e5cbacked No | 59c | 341.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed No | 28c | 333.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 77c | 326.44$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 33c | 324.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.63 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…616cbacked No | 31c | 318.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 30c | 316.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 13c | 302.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 40c | 300$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…2657backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 62c | 295$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…d491backed No | 41c | 292.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…f3fabacked No | 36c | 272.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…16dabacked No | 19c | 262.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…8fd6backed No | 19c | 260.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…7251backed No | 30c | 260.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f35…dfa6backed Yes | 71c | 259.54$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9213…1431backed No | 45c | 248.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…f8acbacked No | 6c | 245.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 42c | 242$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…212ebacked No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.